netstack
Texas is freedom land
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User ID: 647
netstack
Texas is freedom land
13d ago
How often is someone convicted off “gait evidence”?
I read “The program struggles with certain visual cues, so I’d peg it as closer to 98%” with about as much skepticism as “the software says you’re 85% racist.” People can say whatever they want. Besides, why did Mr. Seraphin wait four years to blow the whistle?
netstack
Texas is freedom land
13d ago
I’ll take that bet.
Maybe not the lapses. There are plenty of reasons a guy like this would fail to hold down a job. But I bet he makes it to sentencing and jail (prison?)
netstack
Texas is freedom land
13d ago
I’ll admit that I took the 18M estimate for partition as gospel, and didn’t realize there were lower ones.
Biden numbers are still crazy, either way.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
13d ago
Outside of the 21M claim, I was seeing things like this House committee, claiming 8M encounters and 1.7M “gotaways.” Newsweek gives the 2023 illegal population at 14M, including any who were already present; it also cites a Cato Institute denial of the 20+M figures. And the CIS blasts Biden for somewhere between 7M and 12M.
I’m also surprised the BBC didn’t go all “no evidence.” Still, I see a general consensus against Miller’s numbers.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
13d ago
AP testing technically dates back to the 50s, but I don’t believe it really took off until the 90s. They certainly have their own problems.
I’m actually having a hard time naming any pedagogy newer than the 1950s. There’s the common core math, which sucks. Different learning types (kinesthetic, visual…) were introduced in ‘83; they’re still popular, maybe even useful.
Best I could find was immersion learning for languages, which spread through schools some time after 1971.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
13d ago
How much of this is…well…real?
- 20+% of students at elite U.S. universities are getting some sort of accommodation.
- Such accommodations are less common in less selective schools.
- TLP says a bunch of stuff about narcissism.
I think everything else in your comment is either anecdotal or outright speculation. I was going to ask for sources on a couple of the claims, but there were just too many. Who’s muttering about how they’ll get the wake-up call? How is failure to “fight the decline” cowardly? Why do you think TLP’s model is reasonable?
Actually, let’s go into that one. “Insecure narcissists demand omnipotence from others and detest omniscience” is vacuous. It’s a fully general argument. Any time you want me to do something, you’re demanding omnipotence, and any time I dare to disagree with you, I’m just mad about your omniscience. “They hated Him because He told the truth,” huh?
Goodhart’s law is not narcissism. It is a race to the bottom brought on by normal, familiar self-interest. People game metrics when they value the rewards more than the integrity of the system. No psychoanalysis necessary.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
13d ago
netstack
Texas is freedom land
13d ago
What are you talking about?
No, seriously, what number do you have in mind?
netstack
Texas is freedom land
14d ago
Which of those things applies to bombing lifeboats, though?
netstack
Texas is freedom land
14d ago
Social change has nothing to do with it.
When we signed the CWC, we were binding our hands with respect to chemical weapons. We’d decided that was a fair price for binding all the other signatories. Cooperate-cooperate.
We don’t bomb lifeboats so that other states don’t bomb ours. Even though narcos will never be in that position, bombing their lifeboats would set a bad precedent for our relations with other states. They might reasonably assume that we will, in fact, ignore the rules we’ve supposedly endorsed.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
15d ago
My only QCs have been for chewing the scenery over historical trivia. I cringe a bit when I look back.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
15d ago
A method isn’t a purpose.
Violence is the most important skill for armies, but it’s not the only one, and there’s no reason they can’t agree to hold back in some way.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
15d ago
I’ve had similar anecdotal experiences. I don’t know that they really tip the scale.
Forget the material benefits, forget the disability at all. Either it’s murder or it’s not. The pleasantness is incidental.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
15d ago
Man. I’ve been defending Hegseth’s position upthread, but he’s a real ghoul, isn’t he?
How exactly did he end up in this position?
netstack
Texas is freedom land
15d ago
The purpose of a military isn’t actually to kill people. It’s a tool for asserting the national interest. Sometimes that means accepting limitations—when you actually get something in return. That’s civilization for you.
I don't have reason to believe that these strikes were actually illegal. But if they somehow were, Hegseth would be undermining an equilibrium that really does benefit the U.S.. And for what? A little extra assurance that those narcos wouldn’t get rescued? There’s no reward.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
15d ago
The falling percentage of first-time buyers suggests that they’re outcompeted by people who’ve already owned a house, not just older first-timers.
More details in the report highlights, although I don’t see a chart of median age over time. But there’s nothing here suggesting the demand surge is concentrated in millenials.
The craziest stat on that page is that, since COVID, all-cash purchases have gotten much more common. It’s got to be an inflation thing, right?
netstack
Texas is freedom land
22d ago
Oh, that sounds pretty spicy.
I was able to get at the judge’s order by following these instructions. It appears the prosecution did a great job convicting the defendant’s brother. That might be good enough for some people, but it’s apparently not sufficient under MN law.
As I understand it, though, because the case can be appealed, the state gets another shot at proving it.
annnnnnnnd Rov_Scam beat me to it.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
22d ago
Biden and Obama
got shoved into Minnesotans were never asked
Wait, how do you think they got there?
The current refugee regime dates back to Carter’s presidency. It integrated the efforts of existing VOLAGs, which are probably the NGOs you have in mind. Not exactly a new invention.
Minnesota has a bunch of NGOs, including some of the VOLAGs. Global Refuge is Lutheran and USCCB Catholic; both denominations are well-represented in the state. Historically, they’ve literally volunteered to take refugees. I believe they’re ending up in the Twin Cities more than individual towns, but I don’t have a source for that.
Somalis specifically started fleeing their civil war in the early 90s. Omar got here in ‘95. There was definitely a surge around 2012 coinciding with a new push in the war; that accounts for about 6,000 Minnesotans. More stats here.
Point is, the Somali population mostly pre-dates Obama and definitely pre-dates Biden. There’s been plenty of support from native Minnesota institutions, largely downstream of a strong Christian presence. The national involvement was hashed out before there was even a Somalian civil war, and continued for decades without today’s wailing and gnashing of teeth. I don’t think you can write it off as nonconsensual Federal airdrops to random towns.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
23d ago
Inertia is definitely proportional to the size of the bureaucracy. Be glad that NATO hasn’t discovered Agile methodology.
On the other hand, the Russian MIC hasn’t covered itself in glory. They’ve got a significant head start. I would expect that to disappear within a few months of an open (non-nuclear!) conflict with Europe, if only because of massive casualties leading to rapid NATO turnover.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
23d ago
netstack
Texas is freedom land
23d ago
Judge Cannon ruled that Jack Smith had no statutory power to bring the classified documents case. Thus, Bondi couldn’t just spawn a Special Counsel to manage the lawsuits Trump wanted. She had to slot them into an existing office.
In this case, Siebert was the lawfully appointed U.S. Attorney for Virginia. But he wouldn’t sign the indictment. Bondi fired and replaced him with Halligan, who did. Since that skipped the confirmation process, though, it ran into the same problem which got Smith.
Oh, it’s much higher than that. The guy who ran the analysis thinks it’s closer to 98%.
What does that mean? It probably means he pulled the numbers out of his ass.
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