odd_primes
7hr ago
There are some Chinese contenders within striking distance as well. GLM-5.1 is open weight and seems to perform somewhere between Opus 4.5 and 4.6. It's pretty incredible that there is open weight competition that's less than six months behind frontier state of the art.
odd_primes
2d ago
It's a big reason to maintain a two income household as well, even if childcare ends up costing most of the second paycheck. Marital assets are generally going to be 50/50, but it's a lot harder for a woman to argue for alimony if she has been working full-time for most of the marriage.
odd_primes
5d ago
There are really two different types of paywalls. The lazy version just hides the content using JavaScript but the site still serves it, so it can be displayed with a browser extension. Or the site gives you "n free articles" so an extension can just reset the counter. This has become less common over time.
Services like Substack use a more advanced version, that only serve the paywalled content to authenticated users. To get around that, you generally need:
-
Someone with a paid account willing to scrape the content (or allow their creds to be used to scrape it).
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A site willing to host the content that won't fold after the first DMCA request.
I'm not aware of a Substack service for this, but archive.today does it for major news publications that are paywalled, and there's a fairly well known one for Patreon called kemono dot cr where people can upload paywalled content, or provide their Patreon auth token to enable it to be scraped automatically.
odd_primes
12d ago
These tools don't generate 1-shot perfection - you need to create a feedback loop that will iterate until it reaches the goal. That can be either test coverage or using tool calling to hit a live service with a test API key or something. Even just prompting it to use a linter or a compiler to catch syntax errors makes a huge difference. Claude would fix most of the issues you flagged in a few loops of trying to test the library, failing and getting an error message, adding the error to its context, editing the code, and repeating. Then at the end once you have something that works, instruct it to write some regression tests, clean up the code, and make sure everything still works as intended.
You're doing the equivalent of handing an intern a sheet of paper, telling them to write down their program based on a vague problem description, and then calling them an idiot when it doesn't work on the first try.
odd_primes
20d ago
Today, if you are in a situation where you need to be respectful, you are in a very bad place. You are either in court, in a ghetto, or in prison. In court you must pay deference to the judge (who, being very high class indeed, is often very disrespectful- “I just can’t with that history.” I wanted to jump her too.) In the ghetto you must pay deference to the top dogs, the alphas, the crime mob bosses, whoever is in charge. In prison you must be respectful of everyone else or you’re going to suffer the consequences.
...
When I’ve traveled in the Middle East and Greece, men are extremely respectful of each other. They never talk poorly of their local community and those around them.
Do you not see the connection there? Yes, places where perceived disrespect results in violence tend to have different norms regarding politeness. That isn't to say that disrespect goes unpunished in the US - it can easily lose you social capital. It's just less likely to get you punched in the face.
293 - the pyramids question, makeup, and poetry were my main misses. Also I didn't realize it was supposed to be exactly five until most of the way through...
odd_primes
24d ago
Wan 2.2 had the lead for a while, but LTX 2.3 came out recently and might have changed that. They are pretty impressive considering the VRAM limitations they have to work within, but definitely a ways off proprietary SOTA.
odd_primes
26d ago
B) is the most surprising, in my opinion. I guess they pulled it off by buying out an established SFW business, switching it over to NSFW, then hoping that they could become "too big to fail" before the credit card companies and app stores caught on. They did eventually get banned from app stores, but amazingly they still apparently use Stripe for credit card processing.
odd_primes
26d ago
Not surprising at all. The guy embodies a whole bunch of negative stereotypes - a Jewish pornographer and AIPAC donor who became a multi-billionaire thanks to somehow maintaining access to mainstream credit card processors. Then there's all the ongoing issues with alleged minors on OF, or teens doing releases on their 18th birthday... It's like a perfect storm of Zionism, porn, and finance. Maybe he could have had a Bill Gates style redemption arc if he had lived another 30 years and donated a bunch of money to charity, but it would have taken a long time and a lot of work to rehabilitate his image.
odd_primes
1mo ago
If the intent is to use the phone as an alibi based on location data, the issue is that modern phones track a lot more than just rough location. Eg. unlock/lock events, movement, checking notifications, etc. For a habitual phone user, a gap of a few hours with absolutely no activity in the middle of the day looks pretty odd. Especially when a digital forensics expert could compare it to the pattern of life for the last six months or something.
And if they get any indication that the suspect left their house (eg. vehicle GPS, red light camera, neighbor's Ring camera) now they are caught lying, plus leaving the phone at home looks like preparation for an illegal act.
I think the Liberals have managed to somewhat skillfully defuse immigration as the bomb around their neck, at least for the present, by simultaneously addressing the most negative elements of the system they had set up (while also not telling anyone they are doing so, as to avoid blame).
The big question is going to be how they deal with the bubble of post-COVID migrants as their visas start to expire. Canada does not have the law enforcement capacity or legal infrastructure to carry out a deportation program at any meaningful scale. If people simply overstay and refuse to leave until they have exhausted all possible remedies including bogus refugee claims, it will create a decade-plus backlog of appeals in a system that is already not fit for purpose. An illustrative example of this is the Indian migrant who killed 16 members of a hockey team in one of Canada's largest mass casualty incidents. He pled guilty and was sentenced to seven years in prison, which should have triggered automatic deportation after his release. Now years later, he is still in Canada filing appeals, and using the anchor baby he has post-conviction to argue for humanitarian relief. What's even more insane is that legacy Canadian media appears to be supporting this push for his deportation to be waived. If they can't manage to deport this particularly heinous criminal, do they really expect to be able to process 100k+ deportations per year?
odd_primes
1mo ago
For delivery apps like that, it's effectively a bidding system. Drivers see the estimated payout for a trip that includes the advance tip amount, so they are a lot more likely to take a trip with a decent tip. $0 tip trips sit in the queue getting rejected until a driver takes it because it's convenient or they are desperate. Worst case, if it sits for long enough, the app will increase the driver payment by a bit until someone takes it. So it's really not ensuring good service, just faster service.
odd_primes
1mo ago
It feels like basically the same dynamic as software engineering. It's a force multiplier for more senior staff who have good intuition about the problem space and can use agents as an army of extremely fast but error-prone interns. Cybersecurity is a very diverse field as well - the guy who sits at a desk watching a dashboard is probably screwed, while experienced vulnerability researchers are having fun being more productive than ever, plus with a whole new set of poorly secured targets in the form of vibe-coded projects.
odd_primes
2mo ago
Unfortunately your competitors are in the top 1% at better schools and also did grad school or a specialized masters degree in the field. You can argue that it's unnecessary credentialism, but they are spoiled for choice when the salaries are high and supply vastly outstrips demand. If this is something you are genuinely interested in and you have the intellectual horsepower, why not go back and do grad school? Do a bit of research and find a research group with a track record of placing grad students at quant firms if they don't end up going the academic route. It's that or find some other way to distinguish yourself from the crowd.
odd_primes
2mo ago
Perhaps the less triggering way to describe it would be "traditional" and "non-traditional". I know a couple people in the field who got in by doing a math PhD, deciding academia wasn't for them, and then getting referred by their advisor. That or specific quant finance programs seem to be the traditional pipeline for the industry. You aren't going to get your foot in the door without either that background, someone willing to vouch for you, or specific skills they need that aren't provided by their existing hiring pipeline (eg. hardware, high-performance computing, security, etc). The signal to noise ratio would just be too low if they interviewed anyone with a CS degree.
It's the same issue as with FAANG companies - sure, there are brilliant students who go to average CS colleges, but for them it's not worth the effort of interviewing dozens of duds to find an occasional hidden gem when sifting through applications for junior positions.
odd_primes
2mo ago
Fanficfare works pretty well to create an epub from most popular story hosting sites. I believe it also has a Calibre plugin. It has worked pretty well for me in the past to download from ao3, ff, etc.
odd_primes
2mo ago
The AI-airbrushed photos thing did happen apparently:
odd_primes
2mo ago
The demand for labor at $0 is infinite. No matter what you set your immigration target at, companies will still kick and scream about having a "labor shortage" by which they mean a shortage of labor at the price they want to pay. Taking their claims at face value is ridiculous. They are optimizing for their company's own individual benefit, ignoring externalities that impact the public. Low-wage workers have a massive burden on social services like medical care, schools, welfare programs, etc. For some farmer to get a $7/hour agricultural worker, everyone else is paying tens of thousands of dollars per year to subsidize their ongoing existence in the US.
I also think that it is in everyone's interest to argue for efficient and well-ordered, predictable governance, even when they don't agree with the policy goals.
I think most people here would take issue with previous governments intentionally turning a blind eye to illegal migration, rather than the current administration's effort to actually enforce federal law as intended by Congress.
odd_primes
2mo ago
The way they implemented blocking is completely idiotic. The one thing you are still able to do is edit your own posts in the thread and add something like "lol this loser blocked me" which helps a bit at least.
odd_primes
2mo ago
The problem with that is it eliminates the price incentive to find better ways of doing those shitty low-wage jobs. No VC will invest money into a startup trying to replace sub-$10/hour migrant hotel maids with robots. At $25/hour? Suddenly that's a lot more space to capture value.
Just as an example of this dynamic, look at touchscreen ordering in fast-food restaurants and self-checkout machines. The technology had been there already for 10+ years, what made it finally hit mass adoption was the point where the marginal hourly cost of a unit and its maintenance went below the cost of a worker by a significant enough margin that stores were willing to annoy their customers for a bit as people got used to it. I'd personally rather have an economic makeup that has fewer low-wage jobs and more engineers figuring out automation rather than an underclass of serfs that are paid so poorly (yet subsidized by the taxpayer) that they are impossible to displace.
odd_primes
2mo ago
That's how modern propaganda works though. In a country with 340 million people, you don't need to make things up whole cloth. Just find that one outlier incident that suits your narrative and blast it out for weeks until people are suitably outraged.
There's a reason normies were blasted with the George Floyd footage for weeks, but not the Irina Zaretska video, which was arguably even more horrifying.
That seems like more of a media control problem. Right now an illegal immigrant who murders someone typically gets called a "Texas man" with no photo and a stub of an article in the local newspaper. Rare exceptions exist, but they are usually because Trump forced the story into the national conversation, and the national media coverage is to "debunk" whatever he said. Meanwhile these ICE incidents get weeks of breathless coverage by national media, orders of magnitude higher than comparable police shootings that happen every day. It's easy to give normies the ick, the problem is that the right doesn't own the propaganda apparatus.
odd_primes
2mo ago
Yes, the terms and conditions they put on access to the data includes a prohibition on the use of the data for studying verboten topics like race and IQ. The "scandal" is that they apparently got access to the data second-hand via another researcher and used it to do science.
odd_primes
2mo ago
The military has dereliction of duty - if you refuse to perform your duty or are willfully negligent, that's a UCMJ charge. I think you could apply a similar argument to police. This is not slavery or conscription. A soldier who voluntarily signs up for the military, knowing what it entails, can do a significant amount of harm by simply refusing to do their job in a critical moment. The time to make that call is before enlisting, not months or years later when lives are on the line. By commiting to performing an action and then intentionally failing to perform it in a way that cases harm, that creates liability, potentially criminal liability.
Another good example is fraud. If you pay someone $10k to fix your roof, and two weeks later they "refuse to act" and keep the money, that's a crime. This case is less black and white obviously, but police officers receive pay and benefits in excess of comparable jobs because of the potential danger. Police officers who defect on this social contract should be punished accordingly, whether that's administratively or through criminal charges in the most extreme cases.
I guess it depends whether you think this is a forced move due to running out of money or if they have run their internal numbers and think people are willing to pay the increased prices. VC money is a runway, it's not intended to be a permanent subsidy. If they reduce the amount of money they are burning on subsidized inference, that's money they can put into R&D, more GPUs, etc.
It's hard to speculate without knowing more about their internal metrics, but based on the complaints I have heard about Claude being slow, laggy, etc, it sounds like they are quite oversubscribed. If the demand exceeds the supply, increasing prices is the logical move.
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