peanutgallery
No bio...
User ID: 3338
peanutgallery
4mo ago
Lol, so this is the video? I'm sorry but if you think filming this is "A-tier creepy behaviour", then you are just a porn brained pervert who shouldn't be let near women or children. Absolutely not surprising that this whole thing is a fully online discussion.
peanutgallery
8mo ago
Even so, anyone who has used all of these models can tell you that them giving the same answer is unusual, for most non-trivial questions where there isn't a canonical solution.
So most likely there is some canonical solution. Problem is I am not at all familiar with tariff studies, or whatever it's called, and very few people are. So a lot of people's first instinct especially since it's the Trump administration is they came up with it randomly or AI or some kind of stupid way.
peanutgallery
10mo ago
The Gulf War was against states with no nuclear weapons, no? The theory is once you have nuclear weapons, you will not get messed with, and that still holds here.
peanutgallery
10mo ago
Yeah, for me I gravitated towards his explanation because it seemed like a reasonable explanation of the events among all of the hysteria at the time (and now too), and I'm sure a lot of other people did the same. Also, Keith Kellogg, who seems to be coordinating the Ukraine peace talks, keeps repeating that he is from the realist school. Mearsheimer says the same thing too, so my sense is a lot of people around Kellogg has similar thinking as well.
peanutgallery
10mo ago
There are a lot of people in the Trump campaign who followed what John Mearsheimer was saying about the Ukraine war, invited him to speeches, etc. Seems to me Trump is just saying what they are saying.
For reference, https://mearsheimer.substack.com/p/who-caused-the-ukraine-war
peanutgallery
11mo ago
Math is off. 5500 people 11-16 over 16 years, would be 5500/6 = 916 x 16 eleven year olds over 16 years plus 916 x 5 12-16 year olds. So 916 x 21 / 2 x 0.78 = 7502 white girls. And then, 1400/7502 = 18.7%, a bit over 1/6. Though I remember reading somewhere that it wasn’t just white girls, so percentage would be a bit lower than this.
Not really. The US had a list of countries it wanted to go after at the time. Iraq was just on the top of that list. If the US didn’t exist, on the other hand, Iraq would barely be a small regional power.
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