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sarker

It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing

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joined 2022 September 05 16:50:08 UTC

				

User ID: 636

sarker

It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing

0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 16:50:08 UTC

					

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User ID: 636

It's not that hot when there's zero growth since 2013. It's easy to have a year with big growth if you crash beforehand.

There basically has not been a terror attack of note in the US since unless you count schizos shooting up malls.

I'm not impressed by "they work in a field censured by the state, therefore they have no state connections". Jack Ma was also (personally!) censured by the state, and he's certainly connected. In the US, the DOJ seeks to break up Google. The Sacklers got sued into oblivion. All these people are connected - getting rekt by government action is an occupational hazard of being Noticed by the government, and those who are Noticed typically try to ingratiate themselves.

Thanks for the links about the model training, that's interesting reading.

Russian GDP is not doing so hot (I can't find a good multi year graph that goes up to nearly the present day, but this serves to show the recent trend). It's true that rumors of Russian collapse were obviously overblown but that doesn't mean they don't work at all.

Wenfeng is invited to government functions so I simply don't believe that they are not on good terms with the state and I'm skeptical that they are less tied to the state than openai.

Not that this should change much - they still have a good model, though I wouldn't exactly trust the headline training cost numbers since there's no way to verify how many tokens they really trained the model on.

On the other hand, US export restrictions just don't work. Russian oil is still being sold, it just goes in circuitous routes through India to reach Europe. Russian imports of luxury vehicles from Europe still happen, it just goes through Azerbaijan or Kazakhstan.

They do work as long as your definition of "work" isn't "100% effective".

I don't see how. It doesn't seem likely to me that the student can surpass the master in this way. You could imagine doing RL if you had a model that was good at rating text output (like what was done with chess) but I don't know how feasible that is.

It's not recursive, it just helps you get a smaller model closer in performance to a bigger model. You still need the bigger model to push the frontier out.

100 GW is about 3% of global electricity production. That's for a single datacenter.

It's not necessarily a single data center, I'd be surprised if multi-DC training is not cracked by 2030. In any case, one man's modus ponens is another's modus tollens.

As far as I know every state levies a property tax, so the "perpetual tax" ship has sailed.

Why should we lock down immigration from e.g. Hungary? We've benefited quite a lot from them in the past.

how else are you funding the government?

A tax on the unimproved value of land, obviously.

How would deepseek have access to openai logits?

Clueless recruiters have often blocked people I've referred to my company so that they don't even get a phone screen. In most cases it's because the recruiters are incompetent and can't understand a resume, but there may be some DEI thumb on the scale here as well.

Doesn't that smoke like hell?

I burn the old oil in the fire

What do you mean by this?

I guess it depends on how often you deep fry and change the oil but I can't imagine it's good for all that oil to be oxidizing like that. Also disposing of large amounts of oil is a pain.

I don't get it. Let's assume, arguendo, that noncitizens are not subject to the jurisdiction of the US. Why should it be the case that their children born in the USA (not on a reservation) are not?

I think 0.7 is actually the sweet spot and 0.6 is considered less attractive.

What you call the "normal American" solute in fact goes back to the Roman salutatio militaris and is the lindiest of salutes. On the other hand, the "Roman" salute was probably entirely unknown to the Romans and is a bit of artistic license taken by Jacques-Louis David.

If we're arguing against garages, period, that's one thing. Detached garages are still a utilization of interior space, though, so they don't get a pass there.

What is this from?

Front setbacks are bullshit, no doubt about it. However even in this case, plenty of Mista White's neighbors are parking their cars further back. Seems it should be trivially possible to put a garage where that car is and move the main house closer to the curb to compensate. There's no windows on the side facade of the house anyway. I am not aware of setback requirements treating houses and garages differently, but I may be unaware.

Hot take but sax is bad. Trumpets and trombones are just better.