sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
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User ID: 636
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Remote collaboration still sucks, especially with big time zone mismatches. There's a world of difference between me walking over to my coworker's desk for a quick chat and we can pull up a whiteboard or look at a screen together and me trying to find time with a coworker with an 8 hour time difference (convenient overlapping hours are usually booked solid with meetings already) and try to make myself understood over zoom.
And if they're gone home for the day (which happens before I have lunch) I can't talk to them at all that day.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
TIL Tucker Carlson eulogized Barger.
In July 2022, the Hells Angels made a request to hold a memorial service for Barger at the Oakland Coliseum in East Oakland the following month.[186] Instead, Barger's funeral was held at a motorsports racetrack in Stockton on September 24, 2022. An estimated 7,000 people attended, and the event was peaceful.[187] Former Fox News host Tucker Carlson spoke at the funeral. Carlson said that he had been a fan of Barger since his college years, quoted Barger as saying "stay loyal, remain free, and always value honor", and added: "I want to pay tribute to the man who spoke those words".[188] Barger was laid to rest at Sacramento Valley National Cemetery in Dixon.[2]
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
It's less "is reduced" and more 'reduced itself'. Perhaps they can un-reduce themselves.
"They're trying to kill me," Yossarian told him calmly.
"No one's trying to kill you," Clevinger cried.
"Then why are they shooting at me?" Yossarian asked.
"They're shooting at everyone," Clevinger answered. "They're trying to kill everyone."
"And what difference does that make?"
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
GoatGuns
Funko pops for the red tribe?
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
All the Irish had to do was make it infeasible to continue occupying Ireland.
It looks pretty feasible as far as I can tell.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
I admire the gumption of reversing the usual argument against the one state solution, but I must again remind you that Israel unilaterally withdrew from Gaza and only levied the blockade when the Gazans continued to fire rockets at Israel.
It would have been very weird for Israel to withdraw unilaterally if the only thing that was keeping them from genociding the Palestinians was Palestinian resistance.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Working class because my income mostly comes from labor and not investments.
Am I doing this right?
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
It looks like the motte mostly doesn't even know what to say to this guy.
"I'm back. I forgot my drum."
Yes. I think there's a >50% chance that the Debt-to-GDP ratio is lower when Trump officially exits office than it was when he came in.
I had Gemini vibe code this chart of relative changes in debt to GDP over the course of the presidential terms starting from 1966 when the FRED data starts. Of the 11 past presidents (plus Trump I) in the dataset, 5 ended with a debt to GDP ratio better than the one they started with. So knowing nothing about a president at all, we should expect a 45% chance that the deficit to GDP ratio will fall over their tenure. Despite being such a believer in Trump's abilities, you think he's only a little bit better than the base rate in this department.
Trump's first term of course was ruinous for the debt to GDP ratio, but let's let him off the hook because COVID (the massive spike was during Trump's term, not Biden's).
Biden left office with debt to GDP slightly lower than when he came in. Is your prediction here that basically Trump is going to have a similar effect on debt to GDP as Biden did? Not only did Biden manage a modest decrease as well, he was the only guy who managed to reduce debt to GDP by at least 5pp at some point during his term except Clinton! All this without 4D tariff nonsense, but for Trump we have to consider trusting the plan to get the same result, because...?
If we're gonna impoverish people with tariffs, job losses, breaking of government norms, and the rest of Trumponomics, is the best that we can expect simply a replacement-level reduction in debt to GDP? If that's what you consider "a start", you should be singing Biden's praises for giving us that start.
Consider me unimpressed.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
The issue is nominal deflation and that has not happened with computers, there has been inflation.
This can't be true, right? The original 8GB iPhone was $600 at the time. The 128GB Pixel 9a launched at $500.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Tolstoy had the following to say about the peak of the peasant work year.
The day on which Sergey Ivanovitch came to Pokrovskoe was one of Levin’s most painful days. It was the very busiest working time, when all the peasantry show an extraordinary intensity of self-sacrifice in labor, such as is never shown in any other conditions of life, and would be highly esteemed if the men who showed these qualities themselves thought highly of them, and if it were not repeated every year, and if the results of this intense labor were not so simple.
To reap and bind the rye and oats and to carry it, to mow the meadows, turn over the fallows, thrash the seed and sow the winter corn—all this seems so simple and ordinary; but to succeed in getting through it all everyone in the village, from the old man to the young child, must toil incessantly for three or four weeks, three times as hard as usual, living on rye-beer, onions, and black bread, thrashing and carrying the sheaves at night, and not giving more than two or three hours in the twenty-four to sleep. And every year this is done all over Russia.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
"Very droll, minister."
Hopefully the Census is capturing the legions of pseudoscience majors in this statistic as well.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Self report life satisfaction is very similar between Thailand and the US and is slightly higher in the US.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/happiness-cantril-ladder?tab=line&country=THA~USA
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Ctrl f "social" bro
It's got science in the name.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
This is a bullshit false dichotomy. How about just incentivizing the 72% of STEM grads who don't work in a STEM job to actually work in STEM, if we have such a skills shortage?
This number includes social science majors (for whom there are no jobs in their chosen field) and people who work in management (who would not necessarily be better off as ICs).
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Poland wasn't doing better to begin with, though.
That's the whole point. All these countries started in roughly the same place.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
One defense of these kind of raids is that it doesn't do America any good to have foreign companies build factories in the US if they are going to staff those factories with an imported workforce instead of Americans,
It does, of course. The Koreans also participate in the local economy.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
That's hardly the question. The question is, had they been able to attract immigrants, would they have done better? The answer is clearly yes, for a sufficient quality of immigrant.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Regrettably, nobody has figured out how to rerun history and at experts agree that no two things are exactly alike. The upshot is that any example of a failing country with zero economic migrants can be explained away by some other factor surely being the decisive one.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
cause dejure
You mean "cause celebre", or perhaps "cause du jour."
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Huh, I always took you for a fellow Euro.
Too far, bro. Too far.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Yeah, we can quibble over the precise formulation, if you want, but the birth rates are what are. So I'm not sure what point you're making here.
The point is that "people aren't having kids" is a strong statement that's clearly evidence of some kind of catastrophe, which is presumably why you framed the question that way. People having one or two kid instead of two or three is less clearly so.
Also... the statistics you cited are from nearly a decade ago for some reason?
Unfortunately that's the most recent chart I could find for this.
Sure. I'm not exactly one of those types either, but his criticisms targeted a much larger group (like people worried about capitalism turning into neo-feudalism, which would include that well-known far-rightwinger Yannis Varoufakis).
Literally who? His party has zero seats, so this is another point in favor of the people OP is criticizing not being popular.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3mo ago
Statistics tell a different story, though.
No, they don't. 86% of women aged 40-44 (as of 2016) had at least one child. Perhaps you meant to ask a different question?
Funnily enough, I don't see much connection to reality in this criticism. Why is everyone screeching about "far right" parties performing well in Europe? Why is Europe adapting it's laws to enable more online censorship? Why is the UK arresting comedians for tweets? Those are not things that happen when a group is out of touch with the normies.
Despite the screeching, none of the far right parties want to throw homosexuals off rooftops, strip normies of the franchise, or 'conscript wombs'. That's why they are popular.
Their books are open, right? What is there to disagree about here?
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