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sarker

It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing

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joined 2022 September 05 16:50:08 UTC

				

User ID: 636

sarker

It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing

0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 16:50:08 UTC

					

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User ID: 636

the final startup wave seems to have completed

As Zhou Enlai (didn't) say, it's too early to tell.

There's three startups founded in the past five years in the first ten entries of this list of biggest unicorns (and this is a little unfair because there's two subsidiaries of established companies and one vape manufacturer in the top ten).

HRC is being pulled in two different directions: one, to maximize an estimate of the number of reported trans people; two, to maximize the number of trans murders.

Correct, as I noted in my original post.

However, HRC's estimate of the number of trans people in the country is the lowest I could easily find.

That doesn't pass the smell test.

Then you must accept either a much higher number of trans homicide victims (surely HRC has squeezed all the blood from that stone) or much lower number of trans people in the country. Thing is, I went through the trouble of scrolling a little further down Google, and HRC itself estimates 1.6M trans people 13+ in the US. So we're looking at a homicide rate of 1.2 homicides per 100k (apologies, I fucked up the math in the original post, corrected) if we simply take the HRC's numbers at face value. About 1.6M is the lowest estimate I could find on the front page.

To match the genpop homicide victimization rate, you'd need there to be only about 260k trans people in the US. And this isn't even counting the "gender expansive".