@stuckinbathroom's banner p

stuckinbathroom


				

				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users  
joined 2022 September 07 00:40:05 UTC

				

User ID: 903

stuckinbathroom


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 07 00:40:05 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 903

and the OP often can be extended indefinitely based on various factors

Gives a whole new meaning to the old “surely OP will deliver” skeleton meme

Maybe everything is going according to how Darth Trump has foreseen.

Just according to keikaku*

*Translator’s note: keikaku means plan

Just so, Lorenz would tell you the sky was water if it helped her political faction.

The Lorenz transformation, if you will

Nothing about what happens if the electors choose an ineligible candidate.

I mean, literally by definition, the electors cannot choose an ineligible candidate: ineligible means “not able to be chosen”

If you’re asking “What happens if the electors do the thing they are specifically prohibited from doing?”, I don’t really know what to tell you. For starters, the electors would be in violation of the supreme law of the land and thus should be held criminally liable and prosecuted accordingly; but would they be? Big picture, the whole point of the Constitution is to explicitly lay down the limits of the federal government’s powers, including, in this case, the powers of the electors—but at the end of the day, the Constitution is only as good as the people’s collective agreement to abide by it.

Asking the Constitution itself to contain answers to questions of the form “What happens when people ignore the Constitution in [specific way]?” is a bit like asking a board game rule book to include rules on what happens when the players ignore the rules: if you’re ignoring the rules, then you’re simply not playing the game, and if you’re not playing the game, why would you even care what the rule book has to say?

Ironically I get huge “hitler in the bunker / battle of Berlin” vibes from these increasingly shrill and desperate progressives who keep spamming the “hitler” button hoping to score a critical hit.

“Mit dem Angriff Politicos wird das alles in Ordnung kommen.”

“Mein Führer … Politico …”

debased

Heh.

If you had the same access to 'Young Democrats' or whatever it is on a college campus, you could 'both sides' this pretty quickly

Indeed, Vance did exactly this, bringing up the Virginia AG candidate who called for the deaths of conservatives’ children in a text message exchange.

What was stopping him before?

Domestic political pressure to bring home as many live hostages as possible.

Yes, Israel had been accused of callousness from without, and Bibi doesn’t seem to care (see e.g. his “super Sparta” remarks). However, his legitimacy and that of his coalition are hanging by a thread and so he is sensitive to political considerations from within.

He already has the downside risk of losing his job.

That’s not really a downside risk (i.e., a risk of negative payoff), that’s just a risk of getting zero payoff.

Yes, sure, fine, if you account for opportunity costs, then losing a CEO job might be net negative (depending on base salary, length of and compensation during a post-termination non-compete period, if any, etc.—and, of course, on the value of the next-best alternative to being CEO)

But there is still a principal-agent problem here. The shareholders want (or should want, under homo economicus assumptions*) the CEO to be an agent who only takes +EV actions, where the “V” in “EV” is “market cap”. The more diversified the CEO personally is, the less he will personally care about declines in the value of the company’s equity—sure, if he makes some decisions which go south, then his equity compensation from this job might only be good for toilet paper, but if he’s already amassed a generational fortune and socked it away in a well-diversified portfolio, then a bet which is zero or negative expected value for the shareholders might very well be positive expected utility for the CEO. It’s just like how you’re much more inclined to go for a YOLO all-in with a questionable hand in poker when playing with Monopoly money than when playing with real money.

*There are some interesting ways in which homo economicus incentives break down when the shareholders themselves are all massively diversified; in the extreme case (which may no longer be all that extreme, now that everyone and his mum has piled into market cap-weighted index funds), everyone has the exact same equity portfolio, so all shareholders of company A are also shareholders of all of its competitors (B, C, D …). In such a world, it no longer makes sense for company A’s CEO to prioritize increasing market cap by any means; if he increases A’s market cap at the expense of B’s, the shareholders are no better off! But that’s a story for another time.

(I am not the one to whom you are responding but)

The point being made here is, what exactly does Thiel mean by “small-o orthodox”? Presumably he doesn’t mean Eastern Orthodox, else he wouldn’t have qualified with “small-o”. But then he must have in mind some other notion of “correct belief” (literally, ortho + doxia), and given his, shall we say, (in)famously libertine lifestyle, it’s not at all obvious what that “correct belief” is, nor how it accords with any conventional benchmarks of correct Christian belief, such as the aforementioned Nicene Creed.

Or maybe Thiel was just making a nerdy joke about how his Christianity is growing much faster than Orthodox Christianity.

Not true; Singapore is a Star Alliance state

triple digit salary

Uh, what currency are we talking about?

I would even settle for a tradition of requiring the CEO to invest a material percentage of his liquid net worth in the company’s stock on his first day on the job, precisely to put the fear of God downside risk in him. Or, more or less equivalently, a tradition of letting shareholders pierce the corporate veil and personally sue the CEO in civil court for securities fraud or breach of fiduciary duty in the event that the share price declines too much (perhaps relative to a broad market index, or a basket of competitors’ stocks or something)

Morality cannot exist between entities that are so different in power and nature.

… which of course is why there can be no possible moral objection to wantonly torturing puppies and kittens just for laughs (/s)

The over-performance of resident Asians means that UCs have large gaps between the median Asian/White and affirmative action candidates.

Hasn’t California banned AA in university admissions for nearly 3 decades now? I don’t doubt that university administrators/admissions committees will try every trick in the book to put a thumb on the scale in favor of “diverse” applicants, but there are hard limits on how far they can move that needle, particularly given Asian academic performance as you mentioned. The top 2 UC campuses (Berkeley and LA), for instance, are near-majority Asian and have vanishingly low numbers of Black students.

What might be other ideas for actionable things to combat the misery and cultural malaise?

Unironically ~all of this is downstream of broken dating/relationship-formation norms and scripts among young people. The sexual revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race, and I am extremely blackpilled and pessimistic about our odds of putting that particular genie back in the bottle whence it came.

she thinks she was deliberately undermined by the Biden White House both while in office as VP

To be maximally fair, it really does seem like JD Vance is getting much more press coverage and airtime, and tackling higher-profile issues both at home and abroad, than Kamala ever did as VP. Maybe that’s because the Republicans are more serious about grooming (heh) JD to be Trump’s successor than the Dems were about Kamala, or maybe it just boils down to Kamala’s relative lack of gumption/competence.

siblings with different amounts of African ancestry have the same family background and their appearances (in terms of looking more or less African) are unrelated to how much they differ in African ancestry.

Surely this proves too much. Either Cremieux thinks percentage of African ancestry is entirely unrelated to how African anyone looks (in which case, uh…), or he needs some sort of convoluted “threshold” model in which percentage of African ancestry determines how African someone looks in general, but between-siblings differences are always too small to result in a visibly-distinct degree of African appearance (though somehow they aren’t too small to produce a noticeable difference in intelligence?)

Of course, it might also be cover for the recommendation to delay hep b vaccines until 12.

Why would this recommendation need cover at all, let alone in the form of such a red herring?

The case against universal infant Hep B vaccination can be made straightforwardly to the American people: Hep B is quite rare in this country and is generally transmitted vertically or through contact with body fluids, so the vaccine should generally be restricted to infants born to a Hep B-positive mother, or living in close contact with Hep B-positive people. I’m not saying this argument is a slam dunk: although it’s easy to test the mother for Hep B at the time of childbirth, it’s hard to test everyone whose body fluids the neonate might come into contact with, and understandably the mom-to-be may not answer survey questions like “Does anyone in your household shoot up hard drugs, or have lots of promiscuous sex?” honestly. I’m merely saying that this argument is cogent and plausibly defensible on cost-benefit grounds in a way that the “Tylenol causes autism” distraction just … isn’t.

I don’t think Argument #4 (refusing to engage in some amount of hypocrisy is self-defeating) is as strong as you seem to think. To continue with your example of non-violence, you could just adhere to the non-aggression principle: it’s categorically wrong to initiate violence, but responding to violence with violence is justified. Boom, now you have a principled rationale for self-defense without any hypocrisy!

bush-league TV pundits

W or Bush Senior?

A brief account by a person named George Zinn regarding their father Overton

Of window fame, no doubt

I doubt we would have been where we are, if the left satisfied itself with cancelling racists, and otherwise acted normal.

This is a bit like saying “I doubt the milk would be all over the floor, if the glass had just stopped in midair instead of hitting the ground and shattering to pieces”

Yes, that is technically true, almost by definition—but in practice, “the left only cancels racists and is otherwise milquetoast colorblind meritocratic Third Way Clinton Democrat/Blairite New Labour straight outta the 90s” is, like a glass of milk after being knocked off the table but before hitting the floor, a highly unstable state that can only exist for a moment on the inexorable path to a decidedly higher-entropy equilibrium.

It’s stricto sensu

Tyler specifically waited for Kirk to badmouth transpeople before firing his shot. In fact, I'll go so far as to speculate that if Kirk had been gracious in his response, the Tyler may not have even shot at all.

Uh, weren’t Kirk’s last words about gun violence in the US, not trans people?

Also, how exactly do you think Robinson was able to hear what Kirk was saying from ~200m away? Even though Kirk had a mic and amplification, it didn’t look like there were speakers set up within earshot of Robinson’s vantage point. Are you suggesting that he was watching the livestream on his phone, just before picking up his rifle and assassinating Kirk?