ulyssessword
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User ID: 308
ulyssessword
3d ago
He linked to two of his in-depth responses to different Unikowsy articles, both of which you read and responded to. Why would you think this one is any different?
ulyssessword
5d ago
Heck, with authors you can even go as far as "writes under the pen name of". For example, here is a mirror to "JK" Rowling.
ulyssessword
5d ago
Eliezer Yudkowsky, at his best, has leaps of genius nobody else can match. Fifteen years ago, he decided that the best way to something something AI safety was to write a Harry Potter fanfiction. Many people at the time (including me) gingerly suggested that maybe this was not optimal time management for someone who was approximately the only person working full-time on humanity’s most pressing problem. He totally demolished us and proved us wronger than anyone has ever been wrong before. Hundreds of thousands of people read Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, it got lavish positive reviews in Syfy, Vice, and The Atlantic, and it basically one-shotted a substantial percent of the world’s smartest STEM undergrads. Fifteen years later, I still meet bright young MIT students who tell me they’re working on AI safety, and when I ask them why in public they say something about their advisor, and then later in private they admit it was the fanfic. Valuing the time of the average AI genius at the rate set by Sam Altman (let alone Mark Zuckerberg), HPMOR probably bought Eliezer a few billion dollars in free labor. Just a totally inconceivable level of victory.
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/book-review-if-anyone-builds-it-everyone
ulyssessword
6d ago
You are in an extreme bubble if most people are looking for overtime.
Maybe a bubble, but I don't think it's extreme.
See here (1995 PDF): 27.1% of people want more hours, and 6.4% want less. Or here (federal workers only): 42% are working part-time due to family responsibilities or "other", while 58% are due to work not being available, working a second job, or going to school. Here says 39% of workers would take a 1/5 cut to hours and pay, which is the highest I've found.
Also, the full-time comparisons use a baseline of 44-ish hours, not the nominal 40 (or 38.6 if you count two weeks of vacation). People are succeeding at finding overtime, and therefore not looking for more than the current amounts.
ulyssessword
6d ago
Nope, the closest thing to a real counterargument is a distance-to-horizon calculation that forgets that the other side can be above the horizon too. I believe that you can see Newfoundland from Cape Breton (and vice versa), but it's not really thanks to the CBC for that. I had to recalculate it myself and I tried looking up more pictures as well.
ulyssessword
6d ago
we just shorten the work week!
Who's "we"?
If it's the government, then how? Currently, they can set incentives like full-time benefits at X hours per week and required overtime pay for >Y hours (X=30, Y=40 currently, IIRC), but they aren't anywhere close to banning work (outside of a few edge cases like long-haul trucking).
If it's the companies, then why? They'd have to pay four sets of benefits, rent four workspaces, run training four times, have single-path tasks take 33% longer, and have meetings with four people instead of three with a 30 hour workweek and 120 hour weekly workload. If they're early adopters, then they'd also attract people looking for reduced time commitments compared to the standard, which is horrible negative selection.
If it's the employees, then who are they? Most people I know look for overtime, not temporary layoffs or unpaid time off. That suggests that their optimal work week is above 40 hours given their financial needs and time commitments. Heck, some people take multiple part-time jobs (which sounds horrible) because they want to work more hours than one job can provide.
ulyssessword
7d ago
In today's episode of "Just Fucking Answer the Question Already", we have Can you see Newfoundland from Cape Breton? As usual, the closest they get is quoting an expert giving a half-answer, and not including a significant amount of rebuttal.
ulyssessword
8d ago
why men volunteer less in general,
A three percentage point gap may be statistically significant, but I don't think it's very interesting or notable. There's an eight-point gap in labor force participation rate, and one full-time-volunteer wife with a working husband can get a lot of volunteer hours. Heck, with a gap that small it could be something as banal as different responses to the same activities as men and women have different standards.
communities/pro-social activities/the male loneliness epidemic in general.
Male spaces get disrupted and socially attacked. Even if whatever comes out the other side is just as good (very doubtful), the transition still causes people to leave. Also, women have the opportunity to join both women's-only and gender-neutral groups, while men only have the second set.
"Men are afraid of being called pedophiles" isn't false, but my gut instinct is that it's noncentral.
That is the most visible part of the issue, but it's not the only one. You have to go through the anti-pedophile screening, take the anti-pedophile training, follow the anti-pedophile procedures, be conscious of pedophile-adjacent actions...and finally work at the organization with a reputation for pedophilia. It just doesn't seem that attractive.
ulyssessword
8d ago
why would we grant citizenship to someone willing to sell out their country to an invading power for a paycheck?
I don't really get omni-nationalism. Americans believing that the US is the greatest and deserves extra status/power/deference/etc? Sure. Ditto for the French, Brazilians, Chinese, or even Afghans. I don't see anything strange about different people having different values and opinions, even if they can't see the obvious truth that Canada is better than any of them (despite its current troubles).
Putting every country at the top of the list (but only when projecting your opinions onto other people) is a different matter. If you think your homeland is the greatest, then why do you want every foreigner to express incorrect opinions? If you're a cosmopolitan moral relativist who thinks there is no true "greatest" place and it's all opinions and tradeoffs, then why not let other people believe that too?
Saying that people should oppose you makes me feel like nationalism is a debate-club-style issue that's fun to talk about, instead of an honestly expressed and important core belief. Heck, I rarely see sports team omni-supremacy anywhere ("cheer for your home team, whichever one that is"). It's all either neutrality or people cheering for their specific favored team.
ulyssessword
10d ago
Contempt of court can still send you to jail, and I'm not sure if the limits past that matter. On a smaller scale, they can revoke drivers' licenses and passports, and refuse to issue leisure licenses (fishing/hunting, etc.) for unpaid child support. As far as I can tell, alimony and divorce settlements don't have quite as much power, but that only really helps if you divorce before having kids.
ulyssessword
10d ago
They can't easily reach out to third parties
Not the court's problem in those stories: Pay up or get punished for failing to pay.
ulyssessword
11d ago
Wikipedia reliably reports one perspective on culture war topics. Figure out what that perspective is and what you gain by learning it, and you'll never be betrayed again.
ulyssessword
11d ago
wronged wife gets wind that hubby intends to leave her without a penny, steal her assets, and set up with new snookums so she lawyers up in secret and transfers everything ...
For some odd reason, I suspect that a husband wouldn't have as much success with that strategy. I've heard of a few alimony/child support cases where the court is less "pay to the extent of your ability" and more "die broke in a gutter".
ulyssessword
12d ago
...yes, obviously?
American law sets speed limits, despite the fact that most Americans do not appear to act or express beliefs matching them.
ulyssessword
14d ago
Google Trends puts her at less than 1% of peak Jussie Smollett. Anything that's the 'Something of Something' isn't really the anything of anything.
ulyssessword
14d ago
That's the real shocking aspect of this: the Americans are:
Sounds like Europe isn't a reliable ally, since whatever unmentioned action he took was opposed so strongly. Swap out "African", "Asian", or even "South American" for European there, and it becomes an utter non-story, as written.
ulyssessword
16d ago
Bias in academic networking:
Holy shit that's bare-faced:
Each account varied along three characteristics: gender...race...and university affiliation
...less willing to connect with Black PhD students or those from relatively lower-ranked institutions.
Let's just leave off the largest difference, why don't we. If the inconvenient results are relegated to the paragraph with numbers instead of the one with quotable sentences, then maybe they can keep their goodthinkwise reputation.
ulyssessword
16d ago
the whole disparate impact discrimination thing.
The master's tools will never dismantle the master's house.
Anti-White (and anti-Asian, and Anti-Male) discrimination is de-facto legal, and sometimes mandated. See Students for Fair Admissions as another example.
ulyssessword
18d ago
Holding shift while right clicking goes to the non Win11 menu
Neat! Thanks.
Your probably clicking too far to the right/not on the file name itself so it's selecting the folder
Unless you have already left-clicked on that file, then right-clicking on the space between the name and Date Modified goes to the file's options. I've managed to suss out some of the rules, but I don't trust that I've found all of them.
ulyssessword
18d ago
In windows 11 right click a file, get one style, click more options, get a second older style is bizzare.
and half the time it's the menu for the folder containing that file, instead of the file itself. I haven't been able to nail down the rules as to which it will be each time.
ulyssessword
19d ago
But back to the first hand, it can probably, at least, not be nakedly retarded and designed by the most passive aggressive engineer you can imagine, just checking off Jira issues in the laziest manner possible.
I think this is a perfect use-case for an LLM:
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Ask the AI how to do something ("How do I print this page?"), while giving it zero insight into the actual program.
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Check if its proposed solution ("Go to the 'File' menu at the top-right of the screen, and select 'Print'. Alternatively, use the hotkey 'ctrl + P' to go to it directly.) actually works.
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If it works, great. If it doesn't, your design is unintuitive and you should consider changing it to whatever the AI hallucinated.
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Repeat for literally every function and option. 100% test coverage.
There's no way that an AI would predict that quitting PowerPoint is the first step in changing it from centimeters to inches, so at least someone would realize they made a mistake there.
ulyssessword
19d ago
They don’t want to learn how to understand computers, they want not to have to. Thus, AI.
Personally, I'd like computers to be comprehensible by default. Do you think that this is a good place for PowerPoint's metric/imperial settings to be?
Instead of documenting an archaic maze of menus or building a guide AI, fix it. Make the UI easy to use.
ulyssessword
22d ago
Why so much ire over nature taking its course?
because they don't like that course? The invisible hand of the free market leads to plentiful goods and prosperity. Low birth rates lead to extinction. What's next "Why do you wear a jacket in the winter? Heat flowing from hot to cold is natural, and therefore you should freeze."? Liking one default outcome doesn't imply liking every default outcome.
Any attempt to engage in large scale social engineering...starts to sound a bit... socialist-y.
Yup, that's a problem. Sucks that there aren't any nice solutions, but nature doesn't have to play according to our desires.
ulyssessword
23d ago
I had to relearn long division when we did polynomial long division ("What's the value of (x2 + 2x + 1) / (x + 1)", but usually with more terms) in one of my mathier courses, and man was that weird relearning almost the exact same thing with one tiny difference that makes it all crazy. I can't even remember what the exact application was.
Nowadays if I ran into a problem like that I'd find or buy a calculator to solve it for me.
Yeah, at that point, you'll have a hard time waging a war that's chemical-free (SMBC).
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