walruz
11mo ago
Much of the industry is just really, really worried about underestimating Trump for a third time in a row, and as such they might be overcorrecting.
There is no good indication that any of the major polls underestimated Trump in any previous elections.
If you estimate that Trump has a 30% chance to win, and he wins, you weren't wrong. You'd have been wrong if Harrison Ford, estimated as having a 0% chance of winning, had won.
There haven't been enough elections in which Trump was eligible in order to say much about whether his chance of winning was underestimated.
Dogs who bite people who attack their owners are well-trained dogs.
And people do care, at least to the extent that they make fun of the police, when the police shoot a chihuahua because they were "in fear for their life".
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