zeke5123a
9hr ago
Big Yud is a bit incoherent. If he is right, then he should be calling for firebombing. Either he doesn’t really believe his expressed certainty or he rejects utilitarian thinking.
zeke5123a
9hr ago
Arguably, the rat adjacent attacks on Altman qualify.
I think your other examples miss the point. It isn’t about finding a random connection between group A and bad thing B. It is about finding a direct connection, higher than the baseline, and tacit group approval. It was shocking how many people cheered Kirk’s death. It was shocking how many people were upset Trump survived the multiple attempts.
zeke5123a
12hr ago
It is reasonable to believe “abortion is murder” and “bombing abortion centers creates collateral damage that is immoral.”
But saying “abortion is murder and we should do anything we can to stop it” sure sounds like a call for bombing abortion centers.
zeke5123a
12hr ago
It would still be odd. I guess it depends when kicked out. If a day before the shooting, I’d call BS.
But yes, the more the group distances itself from numerous actions by erstwhile members, the less blame you can give to the group.
zeke5123a
13hr ago
There is a difference between random one off attempts and repeated attempts.
There is also a difference with how people in the group react.
If I was part of a group whose members kept doing terrible things with support from a decent number of members, I would have to seriously question whether I’d want to be a member of that group. You wouldn’t?
zeke5123a
14hr ago
First! Not that anyone will see it since we we’ll all be dead in minutes!
zeke5123a
1d ago
Obligatory link to Norm on Cosby and rapists
zeke5123a
3d ago
What’s interesting is if Save-the-World took their donors to make the world needing more saving in order to drive further donations.
That seems different than overhead and dinners etc.
zeke5123a
3d ago
We had tons of snow. I’d also be interested in comparing your memory with records. My bet is you remember more snow than what actually fell.
zeke5123a
3d ago
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Smoking might actually be good on the margins. Sure, the more you smoke the more likely you’ll die sooner. But smoking also comes with good effects (eg social). There is a case where it is okay used marginally.
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What signs are there that climate change is negative? The greening of the planet?
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I agree re precaution principle but you can take that too far. For example, we could get rid of all oil uses tomorrow. Society would collapse but perhaps that would be better for maintaining the environment (or perhaps not — people might burn wood).
zeke5123a
3d ago
I could label you a hate group. But if no one knows you, who cares. The argument is that the SPLC paid people to make sure the “hate” was visible. The openness is key for fundraising.
How much of their fundraising materials addressed hate groups they funded? At what percentage would you say “there’s a problem?”
zeke5123a
4d ago
No. All it requires them to prove is that they paid these bad guys to make sure they were visible so that they could make money “fighting” them.
zeke5123a
4d ago
The argument the other poster is making is that SPLC:
- Takes donor money
- Invests some of it in people who say racist things
- SPLC fundraisers on stopping item 2.
Rinse and repeat. They basically are creating the demand for their funding
Now whether that’s fraud is a different story I’d want to think through.
zeke5123a
4d ago
Yeah it’s literally impossible. First, climate science itself is based on thousands of different interactions that are hard to model out with degree of accuracy.
Then teasing out that highly uncertain future impact on the economy is nigh impossible.
A limited precaution principle is reasonable but a destroy the economy one isn’t
zeke5123a
8d ago
lol? Really?
Maybe the IRGC are all true believers or maybe some of them are motivated by pecuniary concerns. You seem very certain of one. I’m less certain.
zeke5123a
8d ago
Iran is hurt more by the strait being blockade than the U.S. is by it being closed. The question is can Trump home out politically.
zeke5123a
12d ago
Because the president was talking about blowing up their energy stations and bridges. It was context.
zeke5123a
13d ago
I don’t think ending the Iranian civilization (which I take him to mean destroy their energy infrastructure) is more evil than Iranian’s attempt to restrict the global energy infrastructure.
I also think destroying energy infrastructure is relatively commonplace in war and isn’t something particularly heinous. Yes, it would’ve caused significant harm to the Iranian people but that’s war. It is a legit military target which separates it from killing camps.
zeke5123a
13d ago
Well Brussels can entice migrants and Brussels wants to end opposition to rule. Presumably forcing a bunch of migrants into the country might help.
That’s just silly. Untangling which factor is causing what is incredibly challenging since you can’t really run a natural experiment. But the stats are so extreme that dismissing race because it makes OO uncomfortable is irrational.
That is, both posters make a claim on what causes crime. I respond with stats that show facially a pretty strong issue for OP’s claim. OP cannot simply cite factor analysis without simply privileging his hypothesis.
This is also an area where publishing anything that supports my hypothesis is career suicide (eg see what happened when academics published results showing police killing was not racial predicted). Therefore, you would expect no one in the academy to attempt to prove my hypothesis—it is verboten to even consider it.
Depends on how many nukes are launched
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