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The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

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joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

				

User ID: 174

The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

8 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

					

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User ID: 174

So says the cartel.

The reason that is in their "peace plan" is so they can drop that clause during negotiations so they seem "reasonable" and "comprising".

The USA has similar maximalist demands currently that will obviously be dropped in the final deal.

Or, in both cases, because they don't really want a negotiated peace.

Okay so if I change my comment above to: "I would consider the West Bank to an occupied part of Israel. I don't really care about de jure "ownership" because Israel clearly control access to the West Bank and maintains a monopoly of force over it. "

No, it is not an occupied part of Israel; that would imply almost the opposite (e.g. South Lebanon is now an occupied part of Lebanon, not Israel). It is an occupied land for which no permanent sovereign exists, which is a strange state, certainly, but distinct from being part of Israel.

Did this even happen? No one wants to spend the capex to rebuild Venezuelas bpd capacity.

One problem Venezuela was having is they couldn't even ship their own oil without imported naphtha, which they were getting shipped via the shadow fleet -- which the US was blocking and seizing. So while they can't rebuild their domestic capacity quickly, now that they can get naphtha without restriction, at least one bottleneck is gone.

Are the heavy crude Texan refineries now taking in Venezuelan oil?

Yes. Note that a bunch of heavy crude refining capacity came on line in Mexico earlier this year, which was hurting the US refineries.

What would you call the WB then? It's obviously not a sovereign state, as it lacks... sovereignty.

It is occupied territory.

I genuinely don't know what you're referring to here, but I'd love to know more?

Israeli Jews are forbidden from entering Area A of the West Bank.

If the situation were somehow reversed and it was Jews who needed to set up a viable state consisting of Gaza and J & S / West Bank, it would be a million times easier.

Sure, "Gazrael" would be the wealthy and thriving area, and when the Palestinians fell to infighting or attacking their neighbors, the Jews would likely take advantage to seize a contiguous territory.

I would consider the West Bank to be part of Israel.

You can call a tail a leg, but that don't make it so.

both people in Gaza and the West Bank are wildly unable to travel to various parts of Israel, or even within those territories (segregation).

If you consider the West Bank part of Israel (see above), then there are Israeli Jews who are ALSO unable to travel to various parts of Israel.

The Palestinians left on the promise the Arabs would kill all the Jews and then they'd go back. Didn't work out so well. I don't see Israeli Jews falling for that.

As far as I know they haven't done anything at all, their only real success at sea is using drones to hit tanker ships.

Which is, it turns out, sufficient.

New York, along with basically every other place in America, has a surplus of single males under 40. It appears to have a surplus of single women overall mostly because women die later.

Hopefully also not terribly controversial, but shooting tens of thousands of your own citizens does not actually fix the issues, but tends to make them worse.

No, it works fine. Ask China about the Tiananmen Square protests. (But don't ask anyone young because they've never heard of them)

So in your opinion is the concept of a "bunker buster" just a lie?

The Iranians had bunkers deep enough to defeat the USs largest bunker busters.

We bombed it earlier, it made no difference. We can keep bombing the entrances to their facilities, but they can keep digging them out. So either we have to keep bombing forever (which means the war didn't end), or they're going to be able to restart the nuclear program where they left off. We actually have to take the nuclear material and take or destroy the centrifuges before we've actually set them back.

Both are coup-complete problems, however.

Uh, they don't obliterate all their competition. If they try, their exports get seized. If you're assuming a hypercompetent Iran and a US which will do nothing you're in a dream world.

Best case scenario, Iran's ground forces are weaker than expected, you take an island with minimal casualties and now Iran can no longer extort passing ships or export oil.

No, I expect the US to continue to allow Iran to export oil.

Institutional safeguards only work when the implementing institution wishes to obey them.

In a non-cartel market, the insurers can't refuse to insure in order to pressure the US to restore the situation where they were getting war risk premiums when there was no war risk.

Whether or not Iran can properly close the strait, shippers clearly think the risk is high enough that they're not willing to risk it.

"Shippers" meaning the London insurance cartel.

Iran has effective control of the strait of Hormuz and the regime stands, with a new generation of leadership. The nuclear program is exactly where it was before. If the war ends at this point it's a clear US loss.

Why not just drop them off in a prison until they turn 18?

Because we can't afford to pay for full-time public schools.

On the one hand you've got the parents who think "children shouldn't be allowed outside or on the Internet". On the other, there's the ones who think both the world and the Internet should be childproofed. No wonder TFR is dropping.

3rd wave feminism is sex-positive as long as only women are involved, or between transexuals and non-binaries or whatever, but for straight men it's only acceptable if the women initiate and control the whole encounter, which is an unusual kink at best.

Yes, Mossad's HUMINT and infiltration/clandestine operations ability is just insane.

These ships were non-Iranian oil.

I've heard of non-Iranian carriers getting through (e.g. with natural gas) but not tankers. Either way, though, that's even better. Allowing Iran to meter who gets through until the Marines arrive is strictly better (for the US) than the strait being entirely closed until the Marines arive.

Kids have hated their parents for placing restrictions for their own good since time immemorial. Doesn't make it ok to give up though

It also doesn't make it OK for parents to demand that everyone else do the work to make it easy for them to implement their desired restrictions.