zeke5123a
2hr ago
Stop pretending not to understand what people mean. Puerto Rico legally is an American territory but it isn’t culturally America (and they’ve had many complaints about being not their own country). Super Bowl is culturally America. Bad Bunny was representing a defiance towards America notwithstanding that technically his “country” is controlled by the U.S.
zeke5123a
2hr ago
Puerto Ricans aren’t culturally Americans. Hell they have their own teams in the Olympics if memory serves.
This clapback is confusing passport with culture.
zeke5123a
3hr ago
This just seems like purposeful misreading of my comments. Yes Bad Bunny is technically an American citizen. But he isn’t American culturally. He sings in Spanish. He views America almost like a militant LATAM.
It isn’t my America (of course Bad Bunny thinks America is everything in the new world and Americans are being narcissistic to label themselves as the only Americans). It isn’t the America I grew up in.
And I’m supposed to be happy if he replaces my America with his vision because he says people can achieve their dreams?
zeke5123a
4hr ago
It was defiantly anti assimilation and pro replacement. It is really hard to ignore the Straussian read here.
An economic union with people who at best are indifferent is one I’m not interested in especially when we don’t need the immigrants. I like America. I like Americana. I unapologetically like things like Walt Disney World, cheeseburgers, and the Fourth of July. I love our reverence for our founding fathers and considered the founding documents incredibly thought provoking re political economy (eg Federalist and Anti Federalist Papers should be read by every high school class). I always feel something when I walk through the Mall. If I’m asked to give it up, the question is why. I’m far from convinced peculiarly we are enriched by LATAM immigration and I am very convinced whatever pecuniary benefits are not worth the cost of giving up the culture I grew up with.
zeke5123a
2d ago
I don’t mostly pet ad hominems. I just find it beyond rich that you are gloating about people’s forecasting opinion when you were taken in by the most obviously bad forecast. Glass house and all.
In fact you blocked me for pointing out your failure of forecasting due to your worldview.
zeke5123a
2d ago
You fell head over heels for the obvious fake Selzer poll despite being tell you otherwise. Have you downgraded your forecasting ability?
zeke5123a
2d ago
I spend probably about 50 bucks on sports betting annually. It’s consumption for me (kind of a fun “try to beat the house” sorts thing). For me it’s consumption.
I do recognize it only exists because others can’t control themselves.
zeke5123a
3d ago
Yeah most presidents target parents as terrorists for going to local school board meetings.
zeke5123a
4d ago
I think many of your points can be rebutted. They are in essence treating the progressive option as neutral.
Take for example the politicization of certain administrative roles. Did you miss the first Trump term where those ‘apolitical’ roles were used to #resist. Was that not political? The departments were not apolitical to start with; Trump II is merely saying if they are going to be political might as well be our guys.
Or take ICE. It is deporting more people in Texas and Florida. The big difference is those states are working with the feds so you don’t need a lot of federal people there to enforce deportation. Not so in Minnesota. Is that fascist? Was Little Rock and the 101st fascist?
Re the weaponization of the justice department did we not just live through the Dems trying the leading opposition candidate on novel bogus charges? That is but one example. You also had under Obama the targeting of conservative NGOs.
Maybe you say this is just the “you too” fallacy. But I think the reality is that Trump recognizes he (and Republicans more broadly) being knifes to shootouts. Trump decided to finally bring a gun. Maybe that increases the odds of something spiraling out of control and leading to right fascism. But if he didn’t it would clearly lead to left fascism.
zeke5123a
4d ago
The Vox piece doesn’t surprise me. In the recent Pretti killing, it came out that Pretti previously got into a violent interaction with ICE where ICE acted professionally (if understated). Those interactions probably occurred hundreds of times daily. The media wants you to focus on the numerator of bad cop interactions while ignoring the denominator (the thousands of interactions with bad actors that LEO deals with excellently).
Is LEO misconduct a problem? Sure. But it pales in comparison to suspect misconduct. Vox wants you to focus on the former but not the latter by controlling the numerator and denominator.
zeke5123a
6d ago
And my 8 year will be a giant in 8 years. I think the whole debate is whether LLMs are slowing down on improvements (ie can you really simply extrapolate 2 more years)
zeke5123a
7d ago
That seems like a certain way to make sure your positions aren’t very high IQ for long.
zeke5123a
8d ago
I read the article. It’s somewhat interesting but the interesting question is what did prediction markets say. Most SCOTUS opinions are easily predicted (and frequently written about).
I’d expect an LLM to do better there compared to areas with less items written. In the example I was referencing, if an LLM could step back and try to understand the regulatory scheme, it would have understood its answer was counter to the scheme. Once you know that, you have to really study to make sure you aren’t missing something. But not sure it’s capable of that meta check.
zeke5123a
8d ago
Pretty much everything. Literally yesterday there was a question asked by a generalist that he ran through an AI. The response was the opposite of the right answer as there was a specific reg on point.
I also find that AI is bad at understanding the meta analysis behind cases (ie doesn’t really understand the policy and therefore has a hard time generalizing).
It is a better google but still wrong—sometimes in clear ways like the ref on point and sometimes in less obvious ways where it doesn’t understand nuance.
zeke5123a
8d ago
This seems pedantic. You know what Blackman means. High stakes important cases where opinions are common. Most lawyers don’t practice in that space but Blackman is talking about cases that will go to circuit cases frequently and are of import.
zeke5123a
8d ago
It’s pretty obvious that Blackman is referencing the kind of cases that customarily require an opinion being drafted; not the basic motion practice for many attorneys.
zeke5123a
8d ago
Please don’t run things through AI and accept its output. Lawyer here and AI gets things wrong all the time.
zeke5123a
9d ago
Lemon is alleged to have helped plan it.
Imagine Lemon and others talked about robbing a bank. He goes along and interviews the bank employees whilst the bank robbery is committed.
Seems clearly his “journalist” defense is invalid.
You claim that most normie Americans think of PR as American. Do you have any evidence for that claim? I highly doubt it.
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