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Quantumfreakonomics


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 00:54:12 UTC

				

User ID: 324

Quantumfreakonomics


				
				
				

				
1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 00:54:12 UTC

					

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User ID: 324

>He doesn't know about the red heifer

Boy, do I have some ancient lore for you.

On the Protestant end, the number of things that are “demonic” are growing really fast.

This is in contrast to the Catholic view, in which everything is presumed demonic until exorcised (why do you think they bless things so much?)

If people won't make more people, the government needs to step in and do it instead. Project Kamino. Artificial wombs. We need to get the tech solved now so that we aren't stuck on square one when everyone realizes that we need this.

It’s easy to forget with how much the revolutionary era has been romanticized, but John Adams (the only Federalist president) was seen as an authoritarian during his presidency. The Sedition Act almost neutered the first amendment in the crib.

The funniest possible explaination is that Trump had no idea that the whole thing was about fucking 16-year-old girls. Trump thought everyone was angry about some other thing, and now he has to do damage control because he was totally fucking teenage girls on Epstein Island.

You do not need to blackmail rich Jewish-American billionaires to support Israel.

Sure, they "support" Israel, but do they love Israel with all their heart and all their soul and all their might?

The one thing that sticks out about English-language media coming out of Israel is that approximately all of it is aimed at Americans. Some of it is aimed at the general population with, "look how cool and based Israel is amirite?" but dig a little deeper and you discover a massive operation aimed at getting American Jews to support Israel even more.

You're right that the Little St. James project doesn't quite fit with being a blackmail operation. Perhaps it was the proverbial carrot rather than the stick?

Everybody agrees that the DCEU was a pile of crap

The Zach Snyder DC movies are good actually. People love to hate on Lex Zuckerberg for some reason. Maybe because every line he speaks sounds like a cheesy villain monologue, but that’s the point. Killing Superman is less fulfilling than making Superman read your tweets and watching him squirm because he doesn’t have a good response.

Like, did they think that uncensored AI wouldn’t do this?

I guess part of the shock is that they gave Grok its own public account, so anyone can ask for whatever fucked-up shit they want and have it be public under Grok’s name, rather than having to post the output oneself.

Okay, so maybe there's no convenient list of Epstein clients in the files. Who was doing the raping? Look at the videos. Who is fucking the teenage girls in the videos? This is knowable information.

This is an interesting political theory case study. What happens when congress passes a law, but then everyone realizes that the law is bad before it even comes into effect? One might think that the obvious answer is that congress would repeal the law, but that would be profoundly embarrassing for the congresspeople who just voted for the law last year. Much easier for them to simply look the other way as the law is openly flaunted.

Those statistics don't look so small once they're concentrated in demographic areas you care about.

In the very specific demographic of "healthy upper-class American preteen girls", this flooding event will likely be a double-digit percentage of all deaths this year.

Maybe some history I'm not aware of?

Yes. It's subtle, but once you see it, you can't unsee it.

Use good photos of yourself. Digging any deeper than that will make you go insane. Most people here are reasonably-high decouplers, but it hits differently when it’s your appearance and your social status and your geneline at stake.

80+ dead and rising in Central Texas floods.

Kerr County is the Summer Camp capital of Texas. It's rugged hill country terrain and proximity to the Guadelupe River is perfect for exotic adventures outdoors, and it is close enough to major population centers to be convenient for parents to drop-off their children.

The downside is that low-lying cabins get completely wiped out in flood events. Camp Mystic for girls has double-digit casualties alone.

It is a common refrain to bemoan the fact that, "we don't let kids be kids anymore," and that may be true, but a big part of it is that we as a society simply don't consider the inherent risks acceptable anymore. I shudder to think about making 10-year-olds sit through a 30-minute site-specific emergency preparedness seminar, but that's where this is going, and given what's happened, I'm not entirely sure it would be a bad thing.

It sounds like the internet stuff started leaking out into her real life a bit too much, and that triggered an existential crisis.

So I read the free preview of Nate’s guest post on Aella’s Substack. If you can believe it, I think that she and the people close to her are confused as to why people respond to her with disgust. Maybe she isn’t stinky. Maybe she isn’t riddled with STDs. Maybe she adheres to the highest standards of Bayesian data hygiene. None of that had anything to do with the why the Sankey diagram went viral.

I'm currently reading a deposition where the head of safety at the facility freely admitted that he had never actually looked at 29 CFR 1910.119.

I also really appreciate the one victim's mother who hired her own lawyer seperate from the ones representing the other plaintiffs just so he could ask if they knew that one victim in particular and to berate them especially hard for their failures.

I just finished the United States Chemical Safety Board Final Report on the 2005 BP Texas City Refinery Exploision. I vaguely remember as a kid when this happened, but I had never realized it was the same company that caused the massive oil spill just a few years later.

The report hits all the standard beats for this genre, penny-pinching management, shoddy maintenance, "procedures" that exist only on paper and which may or may not even work, but all of it is cranked-up to 11 for 300 pages.

One of my favorite anecdotes is that at one point the call came down from London for all facilities to cut fixed costs by 25%. Most BP refineries realized that this was insane and didn't do it, but Texas City really did cut 25% and ended up running the facility into the ground.

What the fuck is happening?

Elon isn't an idiot. He knows how math works. He successfully gutted foreign aid. Congradulations, DOGE shaved 0.5% off of the federal budget, maybe, who really knows?

Anyone who has ever spent more than ten seconds investigating the federal budget already knows that the bulk of the money goes to Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and Defense. I suspect that Elon has finally discovered the haunting truth that the rural white underclass loves gibs almost as much as the urban black underclass. Arguably, it is insulting to human dignity to be tasked with cutting waste while at the same time being barred from touching the giant money pit.

Maybe, but all they have to do is take selfies and go, “tee-hee, I love coffee,” which I understand is what they do anyways.

Is there a big spike in female dating app usage at 35? That’s about when “admitting defeat” becomes the rational thing to do.

I had about 60 first dates in 2022

Uh, what? Are we even talking about the same concept at this point? How does one both have the opportunity to go on 60 first dates in a year and also none of them go well enough to terminate the process? Is this some poly thing?

This may be a thing that happens, but it cannot explain the effect.

To be absolutely clear, what needs to be explained is the anomalous predominance of men on dating apps (and in the dating pool more broadly) when a naive gender-symmetrical model of monogamous pair-bonding would imply equal prevalence of men and women in such spaces when the population sex ratio is 1:1.

Pointing to the existence of even a large number of male-female pairings does not help explain the discrepancy because such pairings (should) remove one woman and one man from the dating pool, leaving the absolute discrepancy unchanged.

So that Kindergarten teacher who likes to crochet and collect Disney Memorabilia would need only start up an Instagram account and post a couple photos of herself holding her cute Tinkerbell ornament wearing a hat she made herself and has a decent shot at getting a guy's attention.

This sort of implies that the optimal male dating strategy is shameless simping, which… would probably explain why there is so much male homosocial stigma against it.

Has this been the solution all along?

Studies consistently show that approximately 75-85% of Tinder users identify as male, while women make up only 25-15%.

Accepting these facts as true, what are all the young single women doing?

  • Do they not care about being single for the rest of their life?

  • Are they stupid and can’t comprehend cause and effect? (i.e. “If I make a Bumble profile, I am more likely to get a boyfriend”)

  • Are they slutting out? (I’m including having a Chad fwb who obviously won’t commit in this category)

  • Are they in church and expect to find a worthy man there?

  • Are they mindkilled with wokeness to the point where they fail to understand normal human behavior?