asdasdasdasd
No bio...
User ID: 4161
asdasdasdasd
1d ago
The aesthetics are how you perform your character for others to see. That's why I give the nod to FDR and lincoln, although it's impossible to say if that is post-facto given how baked in they are as pillars of american aesthetic virtue
asdasdasdasd
1d ago
NO! Well, yes, but also no.
FDR qualifies because dude was dropping banger lines all the time AND he was your kindly uncle who had his shit together and wanted the best for you, but also knew better than you and WAS better than you, and you better never fukin forget it. His vibes were immaculate.
asdasdasdasd
1d ago
It's hard to say, because Lincoln and FDR are kinda baked in as aesthetic icons of strength, given the situation. Same with Churchill and Stalin.
asdasdasdasd
3d ago
None of that is true; is the thing. He is a gross capering clown who leads a populist interregnum; he does things that are stupid and counterproductive to his own goals while still doing normal neocon things. He is Bush 3: Bush harder, just worse in every way.
The things you attribute to him are just end process that began with regan and thatcher, the rotting away of the state and of society into atomized citizens and neoliberal incentives.
I think the idea of TDS is a kind of prion some people ate that is stopping them from looking at the fat, senile lunatic they have decided is a master manipulator and realizing: Holy shit, our guy is a silver spoon moron!
asdasdasdasd
3d ago
I don't respect the nibbling at the edges, god of the gaps vibe from these sorts of arguments against climate change.
When people say global warming, what the mean is: Is the Globe Warming? And the answer is: Yes!
Re. old models: First google result. You can get better graphs and data, but i'm not trying to dig it out of a paper: https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2023/01/harvard-led-analysis-finds-exxonmobil-internal-research-accurately-predicted-climate-change/
The Exxon internal predictions in the the 70's have been about 75% accurate. Good enough for horseshoes and climatology.
asdasdasdasd
3d ago
You say that, but if people had payed attention to their low social status intuition during the election, we would be in a much better timeline. We wouldn't have had a country fried moron declaring "MIssion Accomplished" Before immediately spending an ocean of money and and blood to accomplish nothing and then deregulating so hard that the invisible hand shit itself and died in 2008.
Maybe Gore would have fucked up, maybe not; but bush did! He fucked up at every turn! The only reasons the devil didn't pull him straight to hell loony toons style was PEPFAR balancing his karma so hard!
You are bringing up a case where the elitists were correct!
asdasdasdasd
3d ago
No! Those are all gross pencil necked chickenhawk NERDS playing at being big strong men, they're so strong guys, you don't understand, I can bench 450, you don't get it. Fuck those guys!
Give me an FDR or a TR or a lincoln or a Eisenhower or a Degaulle, if you want suggest a muscular authoritarian type!
asdasdasdasd
4d ago
Since nobody seems to be bringing it up, I will:
"Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!! Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell - JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah. President DONALD J. TRUMP"
It really is Poetry.
Over time, I've lost faith in religion. I no longer believe in deontology. I doubt objectivism. I don't think consequentialism produces meaningfully outcomes. I find modernism passe. The rationalists seem kinda irrational. I've done the calculations: utilitarianism doesn't math out.
I think I'll have to RTVRN to tradition: I think Plato might have had it. Maybe Aesthetics as Virtue was the true path all along.
It seems that the aesthetics someone chooses to project and their aesthetic sense (taste? values?) are better predictors of what they will do and who they really are than anything else. It seems that half of my political values boil down to aesthetics in any case: I find trump-hegseth-vance-desantis et al to be disgusting and contemptible; I have more respect for Rubio, but the last Republican I could really get down with was Mccain, purely off of his aesthetics, even if choosing someone as gauche as Palin disqualified him from my vote (Romney was too morman for me to handle, I'm sad to say).
Likewise with the D's: Their candidates have been universally superior to the republicans these past 8 years because they would rather be eaten by wild dogs than put "Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!! Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell - JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah. President DONALD J. TRUMP" up in lights and then line up behind it, but I have the most good vibes off of Bernie, Buttegieg, and Mamdani; also probably for purely aesthetic reasons.
I think this might actually be rational: just by observing the aesthetics an individual chooses to portray, you can make a judgment vis. how they intend to act in a way that is much harder to fake than "Saying shit". Kamala was a social climber totally absent of virtue, and campaigned like it. Bernie is a crusty old marcher, and acts like it. Buttigieg is a bloodless technocrat, and looks like it. Trump is a neuvo rich venal tasteless rich guy, and governes like it.
All this to say: I think I'm just going to be unapologetically ruled by my aesthetic sense from now on, and say that we can allow some grace. Maybe Duublya had a stutter, you can get an aphorism wrong and it's fine. It's ok. That being the case, if any politician in the future sits down and types out something as fucking sauceless and cringe and gross as "Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!! Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell - JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah. President DONALD J. TRUMP" and thinks "This is great, fucking SEND IT"; they should probably go back to screaming at the cocain ghosts in an alleyway stop blighting our eyes with their garbage.
asdasdasdasd
4d ago
That average temperatures across the globe taken over the course of year X, are higher than x-1, and x+1 will be higher than x.
Eg, the globe is warming.
Less snarkily, that the models popularised over the last 50 years or so have been mostly correct, and all show a warming trend. That is the thing that is a plain brute fact that can't be denied: that climatologists in the 70's said "Hey, it looks like it's getting hotter" and then it did.
asdasdasdasd
4d ago
Yup. I do this shit for fun on the side when I'm tired and don't feel like reading, I'm gonna spend more time woodworking and model building than situation monitoring.
I just tell the guy who actually Monitores "I think it will be like that, so put this amount of my money in the maximum risk 'like that' pile and let me know if it doesn't go to zero".
I'm making this post because it went up enough that it's scaring me, the hoe, too much to not have it in something boring.
asdasdasdasd
4d ago
I think I agree with you; given my experience making basically nothing doing productive labor, then making lots and lots actively making the world a more hostile place to the average human, and now making at least a bit of my money eg from people ruining their lives gambling.
At no point in my life have a felt there was a meaningful positive connection between what I did, the societal value of what I did, the economic value of what I did, the moral value of what I did, and how I was compensated; if there was any correlation it was the anti-type.
A bitter pill for me, I got indoctrinated early into the cult of hard work and moral capitalism, it was a real shock to the system when I realized I was the only one who actually believed it.
asdasdasdasd
4d ago
This is interesting to me, because one of those is just a plain brute fact that is true, that can't be argued with, and yet you choose to deny it and package it up with all the other culture war shibboleths that are part of the culture.
I wonder to what extent everything someone believes is received from the air their breath with no reference to how the world actually is? Is it the same for every population, or do some groups actually have more of a connection to cause and effect?
It's global warming by the way. There is room for debate on some other yes/no propositions you have up there interspersed with the axiomatic statements, but that one is just a thing that is real, but some people don't want to be real so they close their eyes to it/believe the grifters and woowoo peddlers instead.
asdasdasdasd
5d ago
Income comes and goes, is the thing. Your income is never guaranteed, credit is an illusion of the false world which will disappear when you need it most, and expenses can scale infinitly.
I would say if everything you 'own' is leveraged and you are reallying on income/returns/debt to finance your life in exchange for having more exposure to the market; you are trading security for potential profit, and the thing that makes you not poor is security, not some arbitrary number.
75k in the bank + a decent income is a good level of security, enough to feel like you are no longer poor. That is ONE car blowing up and ONE roof blowing off and ONE leg getting broken without the need to sell the farm.
asdasdasdasd
5d ago
I'm just talking about my risky bet fuck around money, is the thing. My borring "Don't starve when I'm old" money is locked down for the long haul.
I'm out of it now because the pile got too big and I got scared; but this was the type of money I was willing to take a 100% loss on, so not having the stomach to bet it all on AI related areas before it took off was a major failure on my part.
asdasdasdasd
5d ago
I can only do it now when Trump is in office making everything weird, is the thing; and I'm not confident enough to bet the farm. If I keep making these bets I'm going to lose eventually; That's what I got out (as noted in the post). I don't have the sauce that dudes like Buffet do.
asdasdasdasd
5d ago
It's just that a lot of this stuff is being done in quiet backrooms with a lot of very unsexy administrative law wrangling, and so doesn't make headlines.
I just don't believe any of that is real, I guess. DEI to me was always a pride flag on the lockheed martin float type of situation; the only population that REALLY got anything out of it was women, specifically white women, specifically white upper middle class women, and they are still going to get exactly as much preferential treatment (deserved or not; I'm not even making a value judgment here) as before.
On top of that, until I see movement on actually enforcing use of E verify with universal fines, It's all immigration theater. We know what actually stops people from coming, we simply choose not to do it because it hurts the bottom line for the people in the R coalition with the juice.
asdasdasdasd
5d ago
Investing in sin stocks that go up when everything else goes down; investing in companies that either provide or service debt until the recession hits, investing not in the RMB directly because damn those currency controls hit hard, but yes investing in chinese indexes and chinese growth growth stocks (fees are killer, but growth was really good so it evened out), gutting out of USD and investing in things that track weakening in USD relative to RMB and the euro, all the normal shit.
I know some things about it, but I have my guy do most of it. He has similar opinions to me and does this as his job instead of just doing it for fun.
asdasdasdasd
6d ago
A combo. The efficiencies that come from never paying interest, always being able to wait for your moment, having money to cover whatever happens when it happens instead of letting it become more expensive with time add up.
On top of that, once you get to a big floating cash pile, you have developed the mental habits that help you not lose it.
Also Also, the missing stress from knowing that if three big problems happen back to back you won't be on the street is worth any amount of money. You don't know the weight of that monkey till he's finally off your back.
asdasdasdasd
6d ago
It was snark but also real for me as well.
I did my own cooking, plumbing, car repair, everything; and if I couldn't do it myself it simply didn't get done. Can't fix the water heater? Simply take cold showers, you won't die.
I just think that isn't sufficient; you also need to get lucky.
That said like you, have that shit baked in. I have the same old 99 camry I bought when I had no choice, and I can't bring myself to get rid of it until it finally dies. I do have the hybrid second car because there are two people who need cars, so that softens the urgency.
asdasdasdasd
6d ago
No, the biden times were actually really good if you just had a normal ass portfolio and normal ass hedges; just buy the index, secure with bonds, hedge with precious metals. The standard 101. If you were out here doing wall street bets tomfoolery there was less for you to bite on.
Now that trump is back you can make some real money off the fact that shit is crazy and moving in a bad direction.
The thing that seems to let someone make money is movement in general; it doesn't matter if the movement is up or down or real or bubble; if people are jumping in and out of investments in a panic or in a stratagem, if you pick right twice you can part a fool (retirement fund, old person, degenerate gambler) from his money (what they need to not die).
Because Trump is so inconsistent but in a consistent way, and so many people with conservative leanings gaslit themselves into thinking "He won't actually do it, it wasn't that bad in the first term" some cynical hater moves really payed out.
Or you just YOLO into AI stocks and try to time the bubble, and make the same or more money without all the maneuvering; I'm just too much of a coward to put it all on 00 at the table.
asdasdasdasd
6d ago
1: the advanced predictions are displayed in my big pile of money and
2: I lost out big in AI boom stocks. I just refused to get on board half for ideological half for practical reasons, so I only made a lot of money with my weighted index funds instead of an unimaginable amount of money by going in hard.
asdasdasdasd
6d ago
They should simply have been born a couple years earlier and gotten luckier; given that they haven't done either of those things by Working Hard (tm), they should instead fucking die.
For real though, I think all they can do is not waste money on things like new cloths, meat, restaurants, child care, medical expenses, any food that costs more than 3$ a pound, getting their car fixed, having hot water, etc etc. They must learn how to make everything, fix everything, where to buy everything cheaply, and live a buddha like existence of self denial until they reach escape velocity, which they probably will never reach.
If you want to get out of the low income section of the economy, it isn't enough to work hard and smart, you have to also be lucky and have the knowledge that it's all zero sum until you get about 75,000 in free, un-earmarked cash in the bank. If you can't buy yourself a decent car in cash RIGHT NOW / you don't have at least 1 entire years worth of housing lined up, either by owning or having the rent to hand, you are still poor.
This is why I think I should be taxed way harder; I make more money from having money than I ever did doing productive labor.
asdasdasdasd
6d ago
tl;dr: It seems almost impossible to judge the validity, reliability and authenticity of the goals and states principles of those outside of your circle. Do they actually believe it, do they actually think it's true, will they actually do it? Eg, "No new wars" and the Kamala deadenders who run the D's to pick an example from each ruling tendency.
I come here to-day to humble brag about my money, but in a culture war way; and to share my sure to succeeded investment system. This is financial advice, and you can trust it! (This is not financial advice, do not trust me.)
I've recently made a bit of a small amount of a fuckton of money based on starting amounts; took my fuck around money and plowed it into you guessed it, oil futures and related industries before it became clear that no, he really is that stupid. I'm up a lot on top of my previous gains from betting (read: instructing my investment guy who tells me which southeast asian restaurants are for real) to bet as if the various Trump economic policies would:
Not meaningful increase productive employment in the US.
Not help the balance of trade issue.
Not hem china in in any way, and in fact increase their gravity as an economic center.
Not lower the debt at all, public or private; and in fact increase the debt massively. (This one didn't amount to much, there isn't much money to be made here until the US starts to go downhill for real, so it's just positioning for now.)
This compounding my gains during the Biden boom times, I am up quite a bit, so much in fact that It no longer is fun gambling haha stonks money and now I'm worried about what it does; so I'm taking it as far out of the US economic sphere as it is possible (which isn't that far) as a hedge. I would buy gold with it, but I kinda think that it might not be a good idea right now, I don't know.
As to the culture war angle: If by merely assuming that the ruling party will fail at all it's stated goals and betting against them no matter how flimsy the reasoning gets, I make a killing; how does it keep on rolling? How do people wake up and see the all the red arrows, all the "I'm warning you!"s becoming "I told you so!"s and stay hype?
It would be one thing if there was some sort of big social project that the party was ride or die for; but even it's most sacred commitment (deporting non-whites) was limited in scope (non white, but not the ones the boss or his friends or his allies rely on, H1Bs for all and Farm Scut work for everyone south of the border!) and on the optics chopping block after all.
Where is the there there? It is it all vibes, or do people really, truly believe that there is a plan?
And the actual point of the whole post: Would it be possible for such a person to convince me, even if they truly ment, and even if they were right? It's hard to imagine anything but events changing my mind at this point, especially since my fuck around money is too ballin' for the FDIC to handle anymore off of them being wrong so far.
I'm concerned I've fully closed my mind to my opponents here, but I'm also concerned that if I opened it an inch more my brain would fall out.
asdasdasdasd
7d ago
Ah yes, the "Was that the cricket or did a bit of spatula get in there by accident? I don't actually care" effect.
We know that NOW, but at the time they were doing movie magic to imply he wasn't President hotwheels and besides that: only fools and weaklings believe that muscularity exists in the body. You are muscular in your SOUL, you emanate muscle vibrations into the world. that's why so many ripped gym dudes come off as little bitches. they failed to train the most important muscle: the indomitable spirit.
More options
Context Copy link