sleepyegg
1d ago
Make sports like e-sports. Hmm, there are no women competitive at e-sports? Weird, must be discrimination or something.
sleepyegg
2d ago
For Motte search, how do I search a phrase? For example, if I wanted to search for a "dumb question", quotation marks don't seem to work. Searching for dumb + question will narrow the results to both words, but not if I want that particular phrase.
@nouseforlife Starting with small wins is good advice. Depending on your mental state, you may need to start with very, very small wins. Let me give you some examples of small wins that can be done consistently, that may help if you are in a dark place.
- Get out of bed at a consistent time. It doesn't have to be in the morning, but it should be consistent so you develop a biorhythm.
- Brush your teeth twice a day. Dental hygiene is important because advanced dental work is painful and expensive.
- Shower once a day with shampoo and conditioner. Wash all parts of your body well with soap. Apply lotion or ointments to dry skin or blistered feet if needed.
- Eat food that isn't drive through fast food, Preferably with high protein, some fiber, some fat, and not too high in sugar.
- Sleep in a consistent place that isn't in front of a TV or computer. Allow yourself some time to wind down quietly away from a screen. The body needs some time to be awake but relaxed.
sleepyegg
8d ago
Average person couldn't name any of their congressional representatives if you put a gun to their head. They probably know who the president is though.
sleepyegg
8d ago
So all the US needs to do is bring back mass starvation, cannibalism, and ritual human sacrifice to put things in perspective. I wonder if voting on who becomes dinner would make politics more collegial.
For the purposes of the blame game by voters, people barely even know congress exist as an entity. It's always the president, the top executive, who gets the blame or the credit for better or worse. Your example of Obama and Biden actually a good example of this, individual leaders get blame, not amorphous entities.
Believing otherwise is wishful thinking and not keyed into reality, and will result in a worse electoral result in 2028 if you believe high turnout of low propensity Trump 2024 voters will recoup midterm losses. Specifically, wishful thinking leading to misallocallcation of senate fundraising could give dems a filibuster proof 60 seat majority.
sleepyegg
9d ago
Everybody always wants votes and funding in the next election. People remember favors like this and it builds goodwill. If only government workers would do the job they were hired to do, no one would need to go through this stupid process. It was an important part of Susan Collins's electoral longevity.
sleepyegg
9d ago
Depends if they think Trump or the 2028 dem president will give them better concessions. They'll have plenty of time to hear Trump's offer first. Having killed the Ayatollah, he's going to have to really sweeten the deal in a way that persists even if he is impeached and replaced by Vance.
If their internal situation is grim or their hold on power faltering, sure, they might dial back their expectations for something closer to status quo. They seem to be benefiting from a rally around the flag effect, though.
sleepyegg
10d ago
Iran is going to need some mighty incentives and concessions to get off Trump's back. He did kill the last Ayatollah, isn't that the equivalent of killing the pope then asking for peace with the Vatican?
sleepyegg
11d ago
I think presidents can't really do much directly that benefits the economy on a short term basis. They can help in the long term by pushing for deregulation and incentivizing high growth industries.
sleepyegg
11d ago
Better comparison is what gasoline prices were January 2025 when Trump took office vs last few months. By macrotrends, it's $3 vs $4, a 33% increase. Younger voters possibly didn't even exist in 2006, they don't care about that.
sleepyegg
11d ago
Best case for dems is that impeachment in the senate falls one vote short of the needed votes (while all dems vote yes), causing mayhem for GOP through the 2028 elections. That way they can play the blame game, without allowing vance a chance to fix issues.
It's a quote from The Wire tv series, about the inevitable retailation from failing to eliminate a powerful person.
Trump is usually not forgiving of disloyalty, he won't hesitate to politically eliminate traitors. Trying to politically eliminate or impeach Trump would require secrecy and unity, and Republicans would need to stake their political future on it.
Personally, I don't think that any Republicans will be emboldened enough to turn on Trump because of how he has handled dissent in the past. Safer to focus on personal political survival and then repudiate Trump in 2028 when his term is over.
sleepyegg
11d ago
For many people, you have your mindset locked in during middle age (or even younger) and that's what you carry with you into your old age. We beat the crap out of Iraq in 1990, and then after deposing Maduro in Venezuela it seemed like we were just as strong as we were back then, but with even better fighter jets and other military tech. With Iran, it was probably easy to believe that their regime was shaky and just needed one strong kick for it to all come crumbling down.
sleepyegg
11d ago
It made some strategic sense to be militarily involved in the middle east, if only to secure oil. Since the shale oil revolution and wind/solar/nuclear energy advances, it makes almost no sense since we are or can be a net oil/energy producer. We should import cheap oil if we can, but if we can't then just turn on the shale faucets and let the middle east be someone else's problem.
sleepyegg
11d ago
Yeah, you said it.
Oh, another positive thing is that no US president will seriously consider messing with Iran for the next few decades at least. This is a positive thing, for Iran!
sleepyegg
11d ago
Why would Democrats allow Trump to be impeached if he weakens the Republicans so much? Better for them to make some noise about it in public but give him an easy out (as in still in office but useless) so that they get better results in 2028.
sleepyegg
11d ago
Yes, the Republicans will reorganize and be ready for national level elections in 2036. Hopefully there is a country still existing and fixable by then.
In 2026, no, Democrats want any deal to fail so they can blame it on Trump in 2028. In 2028, Iran can probably get a deal to charge tolls with President Ossoff and Americans will be tired enough on the Iran issue that huge concessions are palatable as long as the problem goes away.
sleepyegg
11d ago
The vulgarian part doesn't matter much if things were going well otherwise. Or if there was no Iran issue and gas was cheap that would probably be good enough.
sleepyegg
11d ago
No problem, the left will issue national debt to pay for gibs. Voters are pleased, in the short-term.
sleepyegg
11d ago
It's going to be turbo-woke, I would in fact bet on it if Kalshi or a Polymarket had a prediction market on it. But I disagree with you slightly, the policies will be equivalent to that of a black transwoman president, but it will come from a white male christian president. Talarico, but more woke.
When I read the article, my understanding is that Dwarkesh is saying it's a 75% chance of superintelligence by 2032, not 2027. He did say something could spark in the next 12 months, but he did not assign specific odds for that.
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