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Notes -
Here I've posted my long-postponed AI update.
Tl;DR:
Open source AI, in its most significant aspects, which I deem to be code generation and general verifiable reasoning (you can bootstrap most everything else from it), is now propped up by a single Chinese hedge fund (created in the spirit of Renaissance Capital) which supports a small, ignored (except by scientists and a few crackpots on Twitter) research division staffed with some nonames, who are quietly churning out extraordinarily good models with the explicit aim of creating AGI in the open. These models happen to be (relatively) innocent of benchmark-gaming and do almost measure up in these narrow domains to top offerings from OpenAI, Anthropic and Google, but are less polished and also somewhat… Chinese. For example, if you ask DeepSeek-Chat-V2
– then here's what you get:
and it does follow these directives religiously, see pic.
That said, DeepSeek seem to not be very sold on socialism as a universal principle, and want to offer region-specific content moderation packages (what they describe as Harmony in Diversity: Decoupled Values Alignment of Large Language Models).
I believe that in terms of contributing to global open AI, they're second to none; in applied research, first in China; and in terms of deployed model capability right now – as far as I can tell, only second to the far better resourced and connected 01.AI. (The only group that I'd say rivals them pound for pound is an even smaller OpenBMB; recently there was a kerfuffle where a couple of Stanford students (originating from another Asian superpower in the making, if names are any indication) stole their work, obfuscated the crime with some Gaussian noise and variable renaming, won intense but short-lived community interest for Matching GPT4-V with a 100x smaller model and 500 dollars and got exposed in a pretty badass manner because OpenBMB know their models inside and out. So much for the «China can only steal and copy» narrative.)
The modus operandi of DeepSeek is starkly different from that of either other Chinese or Western competitors. In effect this is the only known group both meaningfully pursuing frontier capabilities and actively teaching others how to do so. I think this is interesting and a modest cause for optimism, as well as for a general discussion of the state of the international AI race and what it might mean for the culture.
/images/1720791621200323.webp
I've seen a consistent stance on 'open & educational' approach to ML from China.
Not just deepseek, the BGE family of embedding models and the YI series of LLMs explain their workflows better than any western counterpart.
I guess you get a lot of time to write good papers, when you have to wait on V100s to do your training.
China has dominated in ML for quite some time now. Open csrankings.org and sort by AI. The top 4/5 universities in the world are all Chinese. These arent bogus papers either. Proper CVPR, ICCV, ICML dominance.
Im surprised China isnt further ahead.
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