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Culture War Roundup for the week of September 30, 2024

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Can anyone listen to this and not be at least somewhat tempted towards

It's the opposite for me! We did a bunch of math, about a trillion trillion individual units of math, showing the math a few trillion words, and now the math can talk. This is what a hard physicalist would predict - intelligence can come from mechanical causation! It's exactly what esotericists didn't predict - it didn't come from divination, spiritual revelation, didn't come from finding the lost tomes of ancient civilizations, it didn't come from enlightenment, it came from physics and math.

It's fascinating and mystifying to me that societies around the world have near-simultaneously decided to stop having babies:

I don't think it's mysterious that behavior is changing simultaneously as the modern world completely reshapes the environment humans live in! Africa has phones, birth control, porn, and money too.

Can it really be a coincidence that the wind-down of human civilisation coincides so neatly with the arrival of AGI

Nope, it's because we've developed a ton of advanced technology and it's doing a lot of weird things at the same time!

Nope, it's because we've developed a ton of advanced technology and it's doing a lot of weird things at the same time!

You don't think deliberate efforts to reduce the population entered into it?

I don't think that's a huge component, no. Many countries are now trying to reverse it and failing, and countries that've tried to lower it in the past (china?) don't seem to be doing much worse than comparable ones that didn't (other east asians). What specific such efforts do you think are relevant?

Many countries are now trying to reverse it and failing

How does one measure's failure disprove the other measure's success? Especially since the measure that worked is still in effect, and is still being promoted - it's not like "countries" have total control over what's going on inside them, and are free from outside (and inside) influences.

and countries that've tried to lower it in the past (china?) don't seem to be doing much worse than comparable ones that didn't (other east asians).

Same question, as above.

What specific such efforts do you think are relevant?

Getting women to join the workforce, attempting to close the wage gap when they have (even though it primarily comes from men picking more lucrative careers and devoting themselves to work relatively more), and the denigration of motherhood in mass media, and all status-granting institutions.

Ok I think that was a combination of changes brought on directly by technology (women always did a large amount of critical labor within the household, farming or making clothes or similar, cleaning, physically maintaining the household, and as technology automated that having them work made sense) and changes brought on for direct political, eg progressive, reasons which in turn was enabled by technology. I believe little of that had the explicit aim of lowering the birth rate. There was, of course, the overpopulation panic, but I think the impact of that was very small compared to the global trend of progressivism and technology!

There was, of course, the overpopulation panic, but I think the impact of that was very small compared to the global trend of progressivism and technology!

I don't get it. That is my entire argument - this is exactly how the measures to reduce the population are being implemented to begin with! "Progressivism" is being introduced through deliberate centralized efforts, and "overpopulation panic" has been it's feature for over a hundred years. Why are we assuming that this is just some magical "global trend" appearing out of nowhere, rather than it being an expression of these deliberate efforts?

Why are we assuming that this is just some magical "global trend" appearing out of nowhere

Because it isn't a 'magic global trend that appeared out of nowhere', it's a central political/moral/philosophical development of modern history, something that basically all politicians, intellectuals, philosophers have been debating for the past few hundred years? You can read historical progressives and talk to existing progressives, and they're much more concerned about stuff like freeing women from domination than they are overpopulation.

it's a central political/moral/philosophical development of modern history

And where do central developments of modern history come from, are they by any chance deliberately implemented?

and they're much more concerned about stuff like freeing women from domination than they are overpopulation.

I mean, it's only so long you can twirl mustaches and laughing like a me monocled villain, without people noticing. Also the reaction to fertility concern belies them supposedly not caring about it.

And where do central developments of modern history come from, are they by any chance deliberately implemented?

I honestly do not understand how one can have this perspective while also having read, like, multiple wikipedia articles or a single book. It indicates what appears to me to be a complete misunderstanding of history? Like, are you implying that the reason liberalism and progressivism exist is that it's a ploy by the elites to reduce the global population? I don't get it.

I mean, it's only so long you can twirl mustaches and laughing like a me monocled villain, without people noticing.

Yeah real life isn't a movie where the villains are indicated to the audience with artistic foreshadowing.

Also the reaction to fertility concern belies them supposedly not caring about it.

This is the same bad logic as "the conservative reaction to concerns about structural racism proves they're actually racist nazis". In politics, people on all sides have a lot of insane reactions to a lot of things, often without particularly deep philosophical reasons.

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