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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 10, 2022

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Ordinarily I'd just report you for being a low-effort/single-issue troll * and move on but seeing as I don't expect the mods to actually do about this I'm going to go against my own advice and feed the troll, because like @FCfromSSC I find that preferable to ceding this space to the enemy with out a fight.

So, to answer your question, two things spring immediately to mind.

First is the issue @Evinceo raises, if things like intelligence and personal discipline are primarily genetic why are the children of our elites so consistently idiots and drug addicts. This isn't a recent development either Strong man builds a grand empire, or sucessful empire only for his kids to piss it all away has been recurring theme throughout human history.

Second, the axis would have won WWII. The Japanese and German militaries both entered the war with a substantial advantage in technology and training over their opponents. If the HBD-Tards' and Woke-Cels' theories about race were accurate, this ought to have translated into quick and easy victory. Instead the racially diverse, hopelessly disorganized (IE decentralized), and utterly lacking in warrior spirit/tradition armies of the Aglosphere proved far more capable of cooperation, innovation, and stacking enemy dead like corde-wood than their ostensibly superior and racially homogenous opponents. As much as Weebs fetishize the IJNS Yamato but the historical truth is that the one time she actually fought enemy surface ships for real, she and her accompanying task force got thrashed by a by a squadron of 4 escort ships that collectively weighed less than Yamato's main armament. That sort of thing doesn't happen in a sane world run by math and autistic notions of genetic destiny.

* 2/3rds of BorfRebus' total posts have been abpout race/hbd

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The Japanese and German militaries both entered the war with a substantial advantage in technology and training over their opponents.

OK, stop there. The Japanese were a joke, technologically. They had a couple of goodies, like the Zero (which had 6 months of dominance before the Americans figured out how to fight it) but the rest of their military was terrible. They had no business declaring war. Their carriers were impressive right up until they took damage and blew up.

The Germans won their early victories with crappy Panzer I and II, and were heavily outclassed by French and British tanks of the era. What they did have were tactics, which the aristocratic Junkers of the Wehrmacht fought vociferously against. The likes of Guderian and von Rundstedt were saved only by the personal intervention of the autodidact Hitler.

utterly lacking in warrior spirit/tradition armies of the Aglosphere

The Americans conquered an entire continent, and the British the world. But sure, they were lacking in warrior spirit.

proved far more capable of cooperation, innovation, and stacking enemy dead like corde-wood

You have accidentally stumbled on the correct answer: attrition. That's how the war was won. The Allies simply had more steel, more coal, and especially the banks were utterly dedicated to the cause (because the Germans weren't going to pay back all those loans made to Europe). When you have 1,000,000 men and the enemy has 500,000, and you force a battle where both of you lose half a million men, you win.

IJNS Yamato

The proper appellation is HIJMS Yamato.

What's the actual HBD prediction, though? Can it actually be used to check against previous data?

Japanese are high-IQ, right? So why were they behind technologically? And sure, there's a whopping huge cultural explanation available, the Japanese had just recently left the iron age less than a century before... but claiming that "HBD is decisive except when it isn't" isn't actually all that useful. All the excuses for why cultural factors predominated seem entirely relevant, but then we're supposed to discard similar cultural factors from our current situation?

If the Japanese and German war efforts were so doomed, why were they stupid enough to throw themselves into a war they couldn't win?

I actually think it's considerably more likely than not that HBD is true. I continue to argue that it isn't useful, because it doesn't generate novel predictions. I don't need an HBD thesis to tell me that Blacks Less Likely; I can just look at fifty years of data from previous interventions to see that's clearly the most likely outcome from future interventions, especially if those interventions limit themselves to a particular cluster in theoretical space.

I don't need an HBD thesis to tell me that Blacks Less Likely; I can just look at fifty years of data from previous interventions to see that's clearly the most likely outcome

This is the way of scientific hypotheses. I don't need a theory of gravity to tell me that things will fall when dropped; I can just look at the history of things having fallen when dropped. But people want to know why.

Sure. But part of the "why" is definately environmental, because we can see significant short-term changes correlating with attempted interventions. Black marriage outcomes really did crater starting in the 60s. The black murder rate really has skyrocketed post-2020. If policies can make things worse, then fixing those policies can probably ameliorate the harm they caused, and that would be an improvement over the current state.

Scientific theories are useful when they give us actionable predictions. "If you do this, such and such will happen". It seems to me that HBD is short on actionable predictions, at least under anything approaching the existing situation. It gives us no constructive path forward, only a whole lot more conflict. Black people aren't going away, we do actually have to figure out how to share the country with them, and they are never going to accept permanent underclass status with no hope of a solution. I actually think that a lot of their problems are self-inflicted, and a lot more are caused by misguided Blue attempts at helping. But the "your racist" meme is, at this point, simply an axiom, and appeals to HBD won't fix that, so I think we're better off focusing on the way bad interventions have made things worse than on genetic explanations we can't actually do anything about.

HBD is absolutely necessary to respond to the Norwegian Prisons argument, i.e. the claim that disproportionate outcomes are proof of discrimination, and that category of argument can swallow the whole world if it does not have a ready response. That is more than ample justification for believing in HBD and promulgating its truth.