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Notes -
I think average productivity in the US will take a dive over the next month. For the 2.5 weeks before Nov 5, much of the public will be psychologically consumed by election uncertainties that distract them from doing quality work, and then for another week or two afterward, the losing side will mope while the winning side get drunk. I don't think the impact will be limited to "bullshit" knowledge jobs that don't produce much tangible outcome anyways, but extend to all sectors. For instance, I predict restaurant meals will taste worse, surgeons will make more mistakes, etc.
Thoughts? Do you anticipate any election impact on your own productivity over the next 30 days?
Instinct: no way! Most people don’t care about the election any more than they care about the Super Bowl. Internet political forums are a hell of a selection bias.
On second thought: I need to get back to work instead of moderating said forums.
But how could this be measured? Stock market? Number of malpractice lawsuits? Firings? Place your bets.
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