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Notes -
The New York Times just published an article on a trans study not being published for ideological reasons (Archive)
Has anyone else noticed a clear "vibe shift" on trans issues recently? It would have been unimaginable for this article to be published in the New York Times just a few years ago, but now, it just seems like part of an overall trend away from trans ideologues.
I'm am curious where this trend continues. Is it going to go all the way? Will trans issues be seen as the weird 2010s, early 2020s political project that had ardent supporters, but eventually withered away and died like the desegregation bussing movement? Or will it just settle into a more moderate position of never using any medication on children, but allowing adults to do whatever? Or maybe it is just a temporary setback and the ideologues will eventually win out?
Also of note, trans issues are coming to SCOTUS again. The issue presented is
I recommend reading Alabama's amicus curiae brief for an in depth critique of WPATH. SCOTUS is set to hear oral arguments on this case on the 4th of December, so this is lining up to be an interesting oral argument to listen to. SCOTUS usually releases the big controversial cases at the end of their term, so the opinion on this case will probably be released in the summer of '25.
I think Democrats are realizing trans issues are the albatross tied around their neck. It alienates suburban whites, it alienates minority and immigrant voters, it alienates women, including a large part of feminists. They can’t keep bending over backwards to pander to a segment of the coalition that’s 0.3 percent of the voter base.
The trans issue isn't there to win voters. People who are militantly pro trans to the point that it steers their vote aren't voting conservative in the first place. The goal with trans is to keep the left wing activit crowd from being engaged in occupy wall street style ideas, anti war stuff and complaining about expensive health care.
The trans issue is a way for the left to give something to their base while pushing policies that benefit their oligarch donors. Except for woke issues there are few issues on which the donor elite and the activist base agree on.
Who gets out of bed in the morning and thinks, “hmm, I need to throw the activists off the trail, time to start a phenomenon”? The Clintons? Pelosi?
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I think you’re right about being used a distraction away from class issues. But it has still turned into an obstacle in the way of power, and will be swiftly discarded as a result.
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