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Notes -
You can bet on this, indirectly, by shorting RET etfs, but I think the likelihood of this happening is low. I think it's vastly more likely bitcoin will fall 20% than home prices. Home prices rose in the 80s and 90s despite high interest rates.
I would not be bearish on stocks , for two factors: record corporate profits, strong consumer spending both domestic and aboard, such as China. Even with high inflation and high interest rates, this will not change much unless there is a major recession like 2008 again. The economy and stock market did well in the 80s and 90s despite even higher interest rates than today. The fed is trying to get unemployment to rise to tame inflation, but this may not be enough to spark a bad recession, maybe only a mild one like in 2001.
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