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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 31, 2022

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Because of course every single woman is pro-abortion, of course a Republican-voting guy is not going to know any women who might be pro-life, of course no woman picked at random in the USA is going to be "I think the Supreme Court decision was great".

Are you reading the same article as me?

Redd: And by the way, I do talk to my female friends about abortion. Abortion is a problem for Republicans. That’s why I’m not sure if we’re going to win small or win big. But pretty much everything else lines up on our side.

"Abortion is a problem for Republicans" sounds as if Redd is agreeing with Silver - well yeah, women are going to vote Democrat on this issue because you're correct, every woman is 100% pro-choice. We'll win small if Republican women vote for abortion which is a Democrat winner.

That sounds extremely blue tribe, like a speaker who doesn’t realize that women who support the GOP consider abortion restrictions either desirable or a cost of doing business.

90% of the country really doesn’t believe the handmaids tale scenario is going to happen, with abortion or without it. The idea that abortion is some kind of albatross around the GOP’s neck is certainly defensible, but it has to actually be defended, which it isn’t.

As a red triber working in a blue city, it doesn't feel very descriptive of my situation, all of my female friends save one are pro life to the point of donating time and/or money to life focused crisis pregnancy centers. Many of the women I work with are I assume pro choice, but I avoid politics at work as much as possible. So I basically never speak to a woman who isn't pro life, generally more stridently than me.

As a red triber working in a blue city, it doesn't feel very descriptive of my situation, all of my female friends save one are pro life to the point of donating time and/or money to life focused crisis pregnancy centers

This is extremely the opposite of my experience as a red triber working in a very-blue city. I think it would be difficult to find any of my female friends who would mention being pro-life. People get fired for admitting that they are pro-life; I expect I would lose some friends if I made my opinions about this subject clear to them.

That does nothing to dispute the claim that supporting pro life policies are costing republican votes. Ditto for basically everyone in the parent comment tree. I don't understand how so many motteposters are conflating "There's lots of pro-life people" (true) with "Being pro-life will make it easier to win elections" (do you believe this?)

"Being pro-life will make it easier to win elections"

Not what I said. I said Silver is acting as if Redd is unaware that women are pro-abortion, which is going to cost his side votes. I'm pointing out that you can't say 100% of women are pro-abortion, and the pro-life women are likelier to be on Redd's side of the fence, not Bleu's side.

I wasn't trying to dispute that claim, I was adding to FarNearEverywhere's point that Nate Redd fails the ideological turing test pretty hard.

None of my friends male or female have ever expressed anything like the thought you quoted from Redd. For most of us, it's horrifying enough that they've only expressed opinions along the line of preferring to die on that hill and lose election after reflection than compromise to expand the electoral tent.

Then you've missed the point of the article entirely? It's an election prediction site. Trying to put forward a case for a Republican electoral victory. It would be very odd and partisan to portray Redd as an anti-strategist that doesn't care about the outcome and "prefers to die on that hill and lose election".