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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 31, 2022

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From a comment on Reddit’s Daystrom Institute, a Star Trek subreddit:

scared people don't evaluate a potential authoritarian's worth on how many boxes they've checked on the formal etiquette checklist, but by their ability to convincingly sell an illusion of prosperity just around the corner if only they would hand him the power.

The framing of this statement made it clear they were switching from talking of a specific fictional character to obliquely mentioning former President Donald Trump. So, I have a question for the non-Trumpers, never-Trumpers, and former Trumpers of The Motte: prior to and excluding the events of January 6, did you honestly believe Trump was a Hitler-to-be, a potential ender of democracy, a dictator thug, or any other sort of authoritarian who would end the rule of law and instead rule by might? And if so, whose opinion on the matter did you value?

(Please note that you will probably not convince me personally, and a Gish gallop will make me even less likely to listen to your arguments.)

As old guard of the Motte will know, I have always been extremely anti-Trump. I don't think I ever regarded him quite as a Hitler in the making, and pieces like this this Andrew Sullivan op-ed from 2016 struck me as at the very least hyperbolical. My main concern about Trump (besides deep doubts about his basic competence) was that he had scant regard for political norms, and would badly weaken the invisible pillars of liberal democracy in a way that could facilitate more explicit forms of tyranny in future from both right and left. An historical analogy here might be someone like Gabriele D'Annunzio, whose largely ineffectual pro-fascism paved the way for Mussolini.

Trump's greatest weakness in my mind was that, contra Teddy Roosevelt's advice, he spoke in a loud voice and carried a small stick, effecting little significant change while simultaneously alienating moderates and creating bad precedents. What the GOP would have benefited from instead, in my view, would have been someone who could have positioned themselves rhetorically as the sensible adult in the room while simultaneously quietly pushing back against progressivism via things like judicial appointments and spending bills.

Since you're asking about broad sentiments rather than requesting a detailed case, I'll leave it there for now, but happy to elaborate if you wish.

What the GOP would have benefited from instead, in my view, would have been someone who could have positioned themselves rhetorically as the sensible adult in the room while simultaneously quietly pushing back against progressivism via things like judicial appointments and spending bills.

I won't quite say they were spoiled for choices in this regard, but in 2016 you had at the very least Rubio, Kasich, and Jeb! as Responsible Adult candidates and... they didn't do well. As more than one observer has remarks, the great irony of Trump winning is that any of the above would have been far more effective at achieving conservative policy (judicial appointments, repealing Obama's executive policies, etc...) where Trump's mixture of incompetence and naked intent to discriminate constantly undermined his own efforts on that front.

Trump had two qualities that set him apart from the "responsible adult" candidates. First a willingness to entertain outside views. For all the accusations of him being a closet authoritarian and being unable to take criticism his staffing choices were notably devoid of the usual "yes men". If anything he seemed to be going out of his way to avoid them. Second, and most important in the eyes of the GOP base, he displayed a willingness to stand and fight. As I've said before, if Cruz had told Trump to go fuck himself when Trump made that comment about his wife's looks during the debate or gone full scorched earth-on the Washington Post for going after his kids and their elementary school teacher, Cruz would have been the 46th POTUS. That he didn't, was interpreted as a sign that he lacked the 'grit' required to stand up for his own, and by extension his voters' interests, and that perception is ultimately what lost him the race.

if Cruz had told Trump to go fuck himself when Trump made that comment about his wife's looks during the debate or gone full scorched earth-on the Washington Post for going after his kids and their elementary school teacher, Cruz would have been the 46th POTUS. That he didn't, was interpreted as a sign that he lacked the 'grit' required to stand up for his own, and by extension his voters' interests, and that perception is ultimately what lost him the race.

100% agreed. "He fights" was the #1 reason people were willing to put up with all of Trump's other obvious faults. It doesn't matter if Cruz was better on every policy, failing to react to attacks on his wife and kids was fatal to an electorate who just wanted a candidate to treat the media like the hostile operatives of the Democrat party they are.