Tuesday November 8, 2022 is Election Day in the United States of America. In addition to Congressional "midterms" at the federal level, many state governors and other more local offices are up for grabs. Given how things shook out over Election Day 2020, things could get a little crazy.
...or, perhaps, not! But here's the Megathread for if they do. Talk about your local concerns, your national predictions, your suspicions re: election fraud and interference, how you plan to vote, anything election related is welcome here. Culture War thread rules apply, with the addition of Small-Scale Questions and election-related "Bare Links" allowed in this thread only (unfortunately, there will not be a subthread repository due to current technical limitations).
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Notes -
With Biden having low approval ratings, rampant inflation and a historical tendency to punish the incumbent in the midterms, the failure of the GOP to win back the senate is pretty stunning to me. It suggests that the GOP message just isn't popular and perhaps Trumpism, for a lack of a better word, is the only viable option as mainstream Reaganism (favored by party elites) is rejected by voters.
I mean, the GOP also made terrible personnel decisions in large part due to Trump.
It seems to me that any analysis of the GOP's underperformance has to account for the fact that in Texas and Florida, the GOP overperformed. Partly this is due to somewhat better candidate decisions(eg no nominating Dr Oz in competitive races), partly due to competent local parties, partly due to electorates that just aren't that friendly to democrats to begin with. We clearly can't say it was due to the GOP being more moderate there or due to the GOP not nominating elections deniers(Ken Paxton won reelection by 14 points, after all, handily beating out the top of the ticket).
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