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PaperclipPerfector  1mo ago (text post)   2424 thread views

Small-Scale Question Sunday for March 23, 2025

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So the word is that the S&P500 is going to return pretty low returns for the next 15-20 years due to excessive P/E ratios that’d show there isn’t enough earning being done to justify the valuations. People are saying expect annual returns of 4 percent or so. Can this really be true? I’m the kind of guy who just wants to invest in a simple ETF and forget about it. Until now I’ve chosen the SP500 for that, now wondering if I should be doing some rebalancing, but don’t want to sell during a downswing.

Seems like so much hinges on AI takeoff. Makes me nervous because so far there has not been any productivity gains. I know it’s still early though.

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