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The most narrow-technical prediction win I've ever landed:
My Philadelphia Eagles, coming off a crushing Super Bowl victory over the Chiefs, had the 32nd pick out of 32 first round picks in the NFL draft, held last night.
In every fan discussion, I loudly predicted that there was no way Eagles GM Howie Roseman would pick at 32. He would either trade up to pick up a falling star in the mid 20s, or he would trade out of the first round and pick up an extra pick somewhere else. My reasoning being that 1) In mock drafts you often see a guy who was a consensus top-ten pick drop into the early 20s, but rarely past that; 2) Howie Roseman comes from some kind hyper-trade-oriented Jewish merchant genetic stock or he's sold his soul to Tzeentch or something, but he loves making trades, he's always trading two late round picks to move up five picks in the second and pick up a third next year then trading the future third to pick up two late round picks. He loves moving around; 3) the Eagles have tremendous job security for their staff and a roster without any serious holes, so they're free to do radical things. My logic felt so airtight that I put a bit of money on it among friends.
Well the draft comes around last night, my mom wants to watch it. I watch it with her to keep her company, but to be honest, it was a slog with the Eagles picking so late. And what do the Eagles do, around midnight? They make a trade, just like I predicted!, to move up one spot from 32 to 31, to jump another team and draft Jihaad Campbell, a local South Jersey kid.
I won the bets by the narrowest margin possible, and I look forward to buying the most tasteless off-brand t-shirts imaginable outside the Linc next year.
As much as Steelers fans like to hate on Mike Tomlin, the real object of their ire is late-period Kevin Colbert, who seemingly blew too many drafts for fans to take seriously (never mind that he was the architect of 2 Super Bowl teams). Despite the team's current "woes", one person who fans seem to like is Omar Khan, dubbed the Khan Artist, because he has a similar way of suckering teams into making bad deals. He managed to get the #32 pick in exchange for Chase Claypool, who did shit for the Bears for one season before going to the CFL. He unloaded disgruntled WR Diontae Johnson to the Panthers and got Donte Jackson in return, and while Jackson wasn't particularly loved, he started 15 games and got 5 interceptions. Johnson, meanwhile played for 3 teams in 2024. I was wondering who would come out on top if he and Roseman made a deal, and then I remembered that it already happened.
In March of last year, the Steelers traded disgruntled QB bust (Colbert's last draft!) Kenny Pickett and a 2024 fourth round pick for a 2024 third round pick and two 2025 seventh round picks. I'll discount the seventh rounders, since they're essentially lottery tickets, but he was able to turn Pickett in to Payton Wilson, one of the team's most promising young linebackers. The Eagles, meanwhile, got their backup, and traded the 2024 fourth rounder to Miami for a 2025 third rounder. Miami drafted Jaylen Wright, a third string RB who with some luck might become a second string. So who gets the short end of the stick when Khan and Roseman make a deal? The Dolphins.
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