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The most narrow-technical prediction win I've ever landed:
My Philadelphia Eagles, coming off a crushing Super Bowl victory over the Chiefs, had the 32nd pick out of 32 first round picks in the NFL draft, held last night.
In every fan discussion, I loudly predicted that there was no way Eagles GM Howie Roseman would pick at 32. He would either trade up to pick up a falling star in the mid 20s, or he would trade out of the first round and pick up an extra pick somewhere else. My reasoning being that 1) In mock drafts you often see a guy who was a consensus top-ten pick drop into the early 20s, but rarely past that; 2) Howie Roseman comes from some kind hyper-trade-oriented Jewish merchant genetic stock or he's sold his soul to Tzeentch or something, but he loves making trades, he's always trading two late round picks to move up five picks in the second and pick up a third next year then trading the future third to pick up two late round picks. He loves moving around; 3) the Eagles have tremendous job security for their staff and a roster without any serious holes, so they're free to do radical things. My logic felt so airtight that I put a bit of money on it among friends.
Well the draft comes around last night, my mom wants to watch it. I watch it with her to keep her company, but to be honest, it was a slog with the Eagles picking so late. And what do the Eagles do, around midnight? They make a trade, just like I predicted!, to move up one spot from 32 to 31, to jump another team and draft Jihaad Campbell, a local South Jersey kid.
I won the bets by the narrowest margin possible, and I look forward to buying the most tasteless off-brand t-shirts imaginable outside the Linc next year.
Tangentially Eagles related, McCord at 181 seems a tidy piece of business. I enjoyed his brief sit down with Bootleg.
QB Factory. I'm strongly of the "draft a QB (almost) every year" theory of drafting, even a solid backup is worth the effort because of the positional value, and at least theoretically you can launder a developmental pick into a higher value pick later on if he puts out a little bit of good tape. And every now and then you might get a real hit and change the course of history.
Howie continued to perform Tzeentchian feats of trading all day, moving back twice from their third round pick, walking in with eight picks and leaving with ten players. I have no idea how to feel about literally any of these guys, most of them were not guys who the Philly beat writers had highlighted as possibilities. Even Jihaad, who at least has a top-15 pedigree on the big boards and a cool name, I don't know how to think about: is he an off-the-shelf LB to replace the injured Nakobe Dean or a developmental EDGE who will be primarily responsible for blitzing and might not see much more than rotational work this year?
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