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Culture War Roundup for the week of June 16, 2025

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These predictions are pretty damn weak, man. Fuentes isn't making any good predictions. "The terrorist attack on Israel will encourage Israel to attack back!" is not prescience. Nor is proclaiming that this is what gives us license to attack Iran's nuclear facilities; we've been dealing with their attempts to go nuclear for years and years at this point.

Predicting retaliatory violence after an attack isn't foresight.

In that case it should be easy to provide an example of others that made the same predictions.

Sure, I personally responded to October 7th with "oh, damn, Gaza's gonna get fuuuucked."

Didn't we all? One only needed to have looked at the Palestinian-to-Israeli death ratio in any given scuffle to have known how this was gonna turn out

"The terrorist attack on Israel will encourage Israel to attack back!" is not prescience.

Not very many people predicted the extent of the destruction of Gaza, not to mention that escalation path that would ensue from that response. Many here were consistently underpredicting the Israeli response every step of the way.

People were protesting and demanding ceasefires almost immediately after October 7. I assume this was because they expected destruction.

At least on the left some personalities like Cenk Uygur - whose geopolitical acumen I don't value particularly highly - were explicitly condemning Hamas because they thought Israel would just absolutely wreck Gaza in response. (This bit faded as Oct. 7 became more distant and now it's mostly Israel criticism)

A lot of these people overestimated the damage (they assumed much heavier starvation much earlier on) they didn't downplay it.

The Israeli response has been quite measured -- Gaza still exists, and its population has even climbed, last I checked. They should go harder, but they seem unwilling.