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PaperclipPerfector  3mo ago (text post)   32131 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of July 7, 2025

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I mean the best argument I got is you don't even have an argument.

You have a belief in an absolutely nonsensical theory, that is also pointless.

If the presently available evidence can't disabuse you of this notion, then in all likelihood you're never going to be disabused.

Betting markets have to have time limits or else things would never settle. It's also a tax on BS.

There is a major difference between

"Is X behind Y from a casual evidence viewpoint" and "Will it be concisely proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that X is behind Y"

We all know OJ is most likely a murderer. We all know that Casey Anthony most likely killed her daughter (or did something at least), and there's a pretty high chance Carole Baskin knows what happened to her husband but I would never ever vote on any of those in a betting market that it will be proven in the next few years.

You can always make a new market with a new deadline.

In my experience, the fun thing about many people who overconfidently believe total nonsense are also overconfident that they will be proven right in short order (for current events). You'll see!

So inasmuch as Epstein Fans believe this whole case is gonna get blown wide open they also might believe it's likely the Reddit account issue will be definitively resolved in their favor.

In my experience, the fun thing about many people who overconfidently believe total nonsense are also overconfident that they will be proven right in short order (for current events). You'll see!

If anyone believes that there's gonna be definitive proof either way anytime soon, they're most likely wrong about it. It's been more than five years now without any account activity or additional evidence.

Short of this apparently random Mayalasian guy deciding "I'm done being AFK now for five years" or Maxwell saying "Yep that's my account, I don't know why I'm talking about a random Reddit account of mine to reporters but I am for some reason" we arent gonna get closure.

A lack of perfect closure is not proof a theory is incorrect, tons of stuff don't get perfect closure and are up in the air forever.

For all we know we will never get a definitive answer if OJ was a murderer or not, but thinking he did it is still a solid theory.

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