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Transnational Thursday for October 23, 2025

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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What are chances of a sudden, catastrophic deterioration in the situation in Northern Ireland? I don’t have any actual reported facts to back me up, but I just get a bad insidious feeling about it.

Honestly, at this point I think a reescalation of Troubles-era hostilities is profoundly unlikely. I think it's more likely that the Catholics and Protestants set aside their differences in order to more effectively fight their common enemy: Romanian immigrants.

Unfortunately it seems like Real IRA has drunk Sinn Fein’s Flavor-Aid and they support infinity immigrants as much as any brunch-going liberal. UVA/UDF definitely doesn’t like immigration. Both parties are more concerned with selling crack than political issues at the moment. In practice Northern Ireland is 98 percent white, because if you wanted to live in a third world country filled with mad jihadists you could just stay in Syria.