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PaperclipPerfector  3mo ago (text post)   2759 thread views

Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 26, 2025

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Don't you find it amusing that some people are trying to stop Mamdani with the same toolset that hilariously failed to stop trump for 10 years straight and are surprised at their failure.

There are extremely long think and hit pieces and lots of snark, refutals and zingers. And none of them are in format or place that are engaging to the people that will vote for him.

That's because the actual strategic play on the right is not to oppose Mamdani, its to amplify him. If deep blue NYC wants to vote in a champagne socialist who larps at third-world credentialism, more power to them. They'll just be over in the corner eating popcorn and taking notes.

As a result, the anti-Mamdani coalition is a slapdash contraption hobbled together by people who mostly despise each other and are united only in their disbelief that NYC voters could possibly be this dumb, financed by a couple of boomer billionaires who are not particularly relevant. Thus the reason you dont see any coherent opposition is because it doesnt exist. Mamdani will be the next mayor of NYC, and his supporters will get what they voted for, good and hard.

That's because the actual strategic play on the right is not to oppose Mamdani, its to amplify him.

I am talking not about the people on the center left, which fail in exactly the same way the people on the center right failed to stop Trump. There is coherent opposition. It is just an extremely ineffective one.

Is there coherent opposition? You have Silwa, who is very explicitly using this as an excuse to route campaign financing bucks to his friends and family (so technically coherent I guess?) but is putting in the same amount of effort as his chance of winning. Then you have Cuomo who manages to be toxic on both sides of the aisle and is obviously grabbing at any chance at ressurecting his career. Cuomo has some organized money behind him, but it doesnt seem to be the usual influence-dealing you would expect with a standard campaign, just knee-jerk desperation gambles from wealthy boomers not already planning on fleeing the city.

Prediction markets have this as a foregone conclusion, with Mamdani approaching 95% victory chance. I would believe them.

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