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I know absolutely nothing about Ukraine or Russia and I don’t even follow the news about it outside of Motte comments. Through the years though it has been obvious that pro-Russia commentators have generally made fools of themselves. They always adopt this cynical, smart and worldly tone, sneering at the soyfacing West. All I know is that I’ve been hearing them say for like 4 years that Ukraine was on the verge of total collapse and the war only had months left. Or that Germany would totally collapse come winter 2023.
Being ignorant of absolutely everything else, I have heard vastly more false predictions from the pro-Russian side. Given that, I’ll register a prediction based solely on the commentariat's track record: if the war ends in the next year it will come from a diplomatic resolution, there will be no large scale collapse of Ukrainian forces, Russian commenters will keep being wrong about literally everything.
Are you any idea of what a 'selection effect is' ? What gets covered, what gets pushed in the media?
Completely forgotten evergreen hits such as 'Russia is running out of missiles', washing machine chips , 'Crimea beach party' (the 'summer offensive' of 2023), 'Russian economy will collapse bc of sanctions (any year, really) etc?
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