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I don't disagree with your analysis in terms of the current state of affairs, I'm just saying, this isn't a law of physics. Give them another hundred years, then what? Two hundred? Five hundred? It's not as though they have to independently invent nuclear weapons or anything, just stockpile. It just seems inescapably foolish to me to say "it's not ever going to be a problem to have a population of a billion who fervently believe it is their duty to wipe out the West from the planet for the glory of God even if they destroy themselves in the process". Maybe we'd better ignore them for the time being, but something's got to give eventually.
Islamic states with western spec equipment still underperform- eg gulf states with f-16’s.
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They clearly chose demographic warfare for all purposes that matter, though. As long as the West doesn't retake the initiative on that front, they have no need of military development and whether or not they're able to stand up to western force of arms is practically irrelevant.
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