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I wanted to write a post about some of these events, specifically the change in attitude for the titans of industry like Linus Torvalds and Terence Tao. I'm no programmer, but I like to peer over their shoulders, I know enough to find profoundly disorienting, seeing the creator of Linux, a man whose reputation for code quality involves tearing strips off people for minor whitespace violations, admit to vibe-coding with an LLM.
Torvalds and Tao are as close to gods as you can get in their respective fields. If they're deriving clear utility from using AI in their spheres, then anyone who claims that the tools are useless really ought to acknowledge the severe Skill Issue on display. It's one thing for a concept artist on Twitter to complain about the soul of art. It is quite another for a Fields Medalist to shrug and say, "Actually, this machine is helpful."
Fortunately, people who actually claim that LLMs are entirely useless are becoming rare these days. The goalposts have shifted with such velocity that they've undergone a redshift. We've moved rapidly from "it can't do the thing" to "it does the thing, but it's derivative slop" to "it does the thing expertly, but it uses too much water." The detractors have been more than replaced by those who latch onto both actual issues (electricity use, at least until the grid expands) and utter non-issues to justify their aesthetic distaste.
But I'm tired, boss.
I'm sick of winning, or at least of being right. There's little satisfaction to be had about predicting the sharks in the water when I'm treading that same water with the rest of you. I look at the examples in the OP, like the cancelled light novel or the fake pop star, and I don't see a resistance holding the line. I see a series of retreating actions. Not even particularly dignified ones.
Ah, the irony of me being about to misattribute this quote to Gandhi, only to be corrected by the dumb bot Google uses for search results. And AI supposedly spreads misinformation. It turns out that the "stochastic parrot" is sometimes better at fact-checking than the human memory.
Unfortunately, having a lower Brier score, while good for the ego, doesn't significantly ameliorate my anxiety regarding my own job, career, and general future. Predicting the avalanche doesn't stop the snow. And who knows, maybe things will plateau at a level that is somehow not catastrophic for human employability or control over the future. We might well be approaching the former today, and certain fields are fucked already. Just ask the translators, or the concept artists at Larian who are now "polishing" placeholder assets that never quite get replaced (and some of the bigger companies, like Activision, use AI wherever they can get away, and don't seem to particularly give a fuck when caught out). Unfortunately, wishing my detractors were correct isn't the same as making them correct. Their track record is worse than mine.
The TEGAKI example is... chef's kiss. Behold! I present a site dedicated to "Hand-drawn only," a digital fortress for the human spirit, explicitly banning generative AI. And how is this fortress built? With Cursor, Claude, and CodeRabbit.
(Everyone wants to automate every job that's not their own, and perhaps even that if nobody else notices. Guess what, chucklefuck? Everyone else feels the same, and that includes your boss.)
To the question "To which tribe shall the gift of AI fall?", the answer is "Mu." The tribes may rally around flags of "AI" and "Anti-AI," but that doesn't actually tell you whether they're using it. It only tells you whether they admit it. We're in a situation where the anti-AI platform is built by AI, presumably because the human developers wanted to save time so they could build their anti-AI platform faster. This is the Moloch trap in a nutshell, clamped around your nuts. You can hate the tool, but if the tool lets your competitor (or your own development team) move twice as fast, you will use the tool.
We are currently in the frog-boiling phase of AI adoption. Even normies get use out of the tools, and if they happen to live under a rock, they have it shoved down their throats. It's on YouTube, it's consuming TikTok and Instagram, it's on the damn news every other day. It's in your homework, it's in the emails you receive, it's you double checking your prescription and asking ChatGPT to explain the funny magic words because your doctor (me, hypothetically) was too busy typing notes into an Epic system designed by sadists to explain the side effects of Sertraline in detail.
To the extent that it is helpful, and not misleading, to imagine the story of the world to have a genre: science fiction won. We spent decades arguing about whether strong AI was possible, whether computers could be creative, whether the Chinese Room argument held water. The universe looked at our philosophical debates and dropped a several trillion parameter model on our heads.
The only question left is the sub-genre.
Are we heading for the outcome where we become solar-punks with a Dyson swarm, leveraging our new alien intelligences to fix the climate and solve the Riemann Hypothesis? Or are we barrelling toward a cyberpunk dystopia with a Dyson swarm, where the rich have Omni-sapients in their pockets while the rest of us scrape by in the ruins of the creative economy, generating training data for a credit? Or perhaps we are the lucky denizens of a Fully Automated Luxury Space Commune with optional homosexuality (but mandatory Dyson swarms)?
(I've left out the very real possibility of human extinction. Don't worry, the swarm didn't go anywhere.)
The TEGAKI example suggests the middle path is most likely, at least for a few years (and the "middle" would have been ridiculous scifi a decade back). A world where we loudly proclaim our purity while quietly outsourcing the heavy lifting to the machine. We'll ban AI art while using AI to build the ban-hammer. We'll mock the "slop" while reading AI summaries of the news. We'll claim superiority over the machine right up until the moment it politely corrects our Gandhi quotes and writes the Linux kernel better than we can.
I used to think my willingness to embrace these tools gave me an edge, a way to stay ahead of the curve. Now I suspect it just means I'll be the first one to realize when the curve has become a vertical wall.
Yeah. There's a mirror to the post here I wrote on tumblr, steelmanning the concerns with AI use for that audience, and it's... concerning how many are already applicable even if zero further progress with AI features and capabilities happen.
(And, uh, that I used AI-assisted doctors as an example, albeit of the form "Amazon-East goes down and suddenly your doctor doesn’t know how to check the side effects for a specific medicine.")
Very much agreed. It's probably useful to notice where the criticisms of AI output have moved from errors in basic functionality to lack of Vision or discernment of domain expertise, but it's not very comforting for someone without that vision themselves.
And then it becomes near-certain that progress isn't going to stop here.
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I wouldn't go that far, but in general I agree. (I am thinking of the AI systems that currently stand in the way between me and a live human customer service representative who might actually be able to help me. So annoying.)
As you say, it's kind of a Moloch situation now in which AI offers enough benefits that there is basically a race to use it maximally.
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