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Notes -
Project Glasswing: Anthropic Shows The AI Train Isn't Stopping
In AI/ML spaces where I hang around (mostly as a humble lurker), there have been rumors that the recent massive uptick in valid and useful submissions for critical bugfixes might be attributable to a frontier AI company.
I specify "valid" and "useful", because most OSS projects have been inundated with a tide of low-effort, AI generated submissions. While these particular ones were usually not tagged as AI by the authors, they were accepted and acted-upon, which sets a floor on their quality.
Then, after the recent Claude Code leak, hawk-eyed reviewers noted that Anthropic had internal flags that seemed to prevent AI agents disclosing their involvement (or nature) when making commits. Not a feature exposed to the general public, AFAIK, but reserved for internal use. This was a relatively minor talking point compared to the other juicy tidbits in the code.
Since Anthropic just couldn't catch a break, an internal website was leaked, which revealed that they were working on their next frontier model, codenamed either Mythos or Capybara (both names were in internal use). This was... less than surprising. Everyone and their dog knows that the labs are working around the clock on new models and training runs. Or at least my pair do. What was worth noting was that Anthropic had, for the last few years, released 3 different tiers of model - Haiku, Sonnet and Opus, in increasing order of size and capability (and cost). But Mythos? It was presented as being plus ultra, too good to simply be considered the next iteration of Opus, or perhaps simply too expensive (Anthropic tried hard to explain that the price was worth it).
But back to the first point: why would a frontier company do this?
Speculation included:
I noted this, but didn't bother writing it up because, well, they were rumors, and I've never claimed to be a professional programmer.
And now I present to you:
Project Glasswing by Anthropic
..
Examples given:
Well. How about that. I wish the skeptics good luck, someone's going to be eating their hat very soon, and it's probably not going to be me. I'll see you in the queue for the dole. Being right about these things doesn't really get me out of the lurch either, Cassandra's foresight brought about no happy endings for anyone involved. I am not that pessimistic about outcomes, in all honesty, but the train shows no signs of stopping.
Edit: A link to the Substack version of this post. I don't think you should consider me an authoritative source when it comes to AI/ML, at best I'm the kind of nerd who reads the papers with keen interest. But God knows the quality of discourse around the topic is so bad that you can do worse.
Edit 2: I think this also explains the recent crunch in tokens made available to both paid and free tier users of Claude. Mythos can't have been cheap to train, and is definitely not cheap to deploy.
Biggest red flag to me that this is more marketing puffery overselling capabilities than reality:
I.e. "This AI could be utterly devastating even if we only let it loose on our internal network. We'd better be super duper extra careful and cautious before we let it loose. 24 hours ought to be fine, what could we possibly miss in such a massive time window?"
If that's the biggest red flag you can find?
Well, I mentally include you in the list of skeptics too, so I've already wished you luck.
(And I suppose I should thank you for listening to others when they asked you to try repeating your recent experiment with Opus instead of Sonnet. That makes you a better skeptic than many I have the displeasure of knowing on this forum.)
More substantively:
Anthropic takes misalignment seriously, though concerns were raised after the loosened their RSP. You can't really evaluate the safety of the latest and greatest models while being maximally restrictive, at least not if you don't want to be scooped by your competitors with fewer scruples. Anthropic acknowledges this tension explicitly, and asks for forgiveness for moving with haste even they aren't quite comfortable with. I can only assume that reasonable care was taken to minimize the scope for danger even when they did a wider internal rollout.
Plus, they've already said they're not going to make Mythos public, even if some of the benefits will trickle down to the next Opus. That is not something a company that is desperate for money or willing to ignore safety would do.
Oh, Boo. You can bet your ass the military and big corpo will have access to Mythos, why can't the ordinary man get it too (even for the appropriate fee including a fair margin rate on top of their development + running costs).
@ChickenOverlord is correct to point out that Anthropic has only said they won't release Mythos Preview, but that they're planning to release "Mythos-tier" models eventually, when they deem it safe.
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