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Notes -
Project Glasswing: Anthropic Shows The AI Train Isn't Stopping
In AI/ML spaces where I hang around (mostly as a humble lurker), there have been rumors that the recent massive uptick in valid and useful submissions for critical bugfixes might be attributable to a frontier AI company.
I specify "valid" and "useful", because most OSS projects have been inundated with a tide of low-effort, AI generated submissions. While these particular ones were usually not tagged as AI by the authors, they were accepted and acted-upon, which sets a floor on their quality.
Then, after the recent Claude Code leak, hawk-eyed reviewers noted that Anthropic had internal flags that seemed to prevent AI agents disclosing their involvement (or nature) when making commits. Not a feature exposed to the general public, AFAIK, but reserved for internal use. This was a relatively minor talking point compared to the other juicy tidbits in the code.
Since Anthropic just couldn't catch a break, an internal website was leaked, which revealed that they were working on their next frontier model, codenamed either Mythos or Capybara (both names were in internal use). This was... less than surprising. Everyone and their dog knows that the labs are working around the clock on new models and training runs. Or at least my pair do. What was worth noting was that Anthropic had, for the last few years, released 3 different tiers of model - Haiku, Sonnet and Opus, in increasing order of size and capability (and cost). But Mythos? It was presented as being plus ultra, too good to simply be considered the next iteration of Opus, or perhaps simply too expensive (Anthropic tried hard to explain that the price was worth it).
But back to the first point: why would a frontier company do this?
Speculation included:
I noted this, but didn't bother writing it up because, well, they were rumors, and I've never claimed to be a professional programmer.
And now I present to you:
Project Glasswing by Anthropic
..
Examples given:
Well. How about that. I wish the skeptics good luck, someone's going to be eating their hat very soon, and it's probably not going to be me. I'll see you in the queue for the dole. Being right about these things doesn't really get me out of the lurch either, Cassandra's foresight brought about no happy endings for anyone involved. I am not that pessimistic about outcomes, in all honesty, but the train shows no signs of stopping.
Edit: A link to the Substack version of this post. I don't think you should consider me an authoritative source when it comes to AI/ML, at best I'm the kind of nerd who reads the papers with keen interest. But God knows the quality of discourse around the topic is so bad that you can do worse.
Edit 2: I think this also explains the recent crunch in tokens made available to both paid and free tier users of Claude. Mythos can't have been cheap to train, and is definitely not cheap to deploy.
Yeah, anti "AI works for coding" person in the top level 2-3 below this one, how do you explain all this? Note that they are providing cryptographic hashes of claimed vulnerabilities today, so we'll see within the next few weeks what these vulnerabilities actually are and if they're trivial we'll all know. Finding a 27y old vulnerability in FreeBSD is up there next level skillz.
Also @self_made_human, you're a regulated doctor, you're one of the least cooked people out there, you'll be protected by laws and regulations long after the rest of us are on the dole.
So I hope, but it's far from granted while I work for the NHS. Rishi Sunak threatened to cut costs and put uppity doctors in their place by augmenting mid-levels with AI a few years back, and was laughed at. Even I don't think the models of the time would have been good enough. But times have changed, while the NHS and its only becomes a more tempting target for financial bariatric surgery (and the models have gotten much better). Starmer probably won't be the one to make the call, given his politics, but desperate times call for desperate measures.
I'm confident it'll happen eventually, and far too soon for comfort. The average man, the kind staring at double digit unemployment figures or laid off themselves, would have pointed questions about why doctors and other regulated professions are let off the hook. I think it only buys me like 2-5 additional years of security at best.
And in India? Haha. Sadder haha. It's going to be a bloodbath and the service sector is not going to have a good time. The economy it props up? You connect the dots.
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