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Notes -
Project Glasswing: Anthropic Shows The AI Train Isn't Stopping
In AI/ML spaces where I hang around (mostly as a humble lurker), there have been rumors that the recent massive uptick in valid and useful submissions for critical bugfixes might be attributable to a frontier AI company.
I specify "valid" and "useful", because most OSS projects have been inundated with a tide of low-effort, AI generated submissions. While these particular ones were usually not tagged as AI by the authors, they were accepted and acted-upon, which sets a floor on their quality.
Then, after the recent Claude Code leak, hawk-eyed reviewers noted that Anthropic had internal flags that seemed to prevent AI agents disclosing their involvement (or nature) when making commits. Not a feature exposed to the general public, AFAIK, but reserved for internal use. This was a relatively minor talking point compared to the other juicy tidbits in the code.
Since Anthropic just couldn't catch a break, an internal website was leaked, which revealed that they were working on their next frontier model, codenamed either Mythos or Capybara (both names were in internal use). This was... less than surprising. Everyone and their dog knows that the labs are working around the clock on new models and training runs. Or at least my pair do. What was worth noting was that Anthropic had, for the last few years, released 3 different tiers of model - Haiku, Sonnet and Opus, in increasing order of size and capability (and cost). But Mythos? It was presented as being plus ultra, too good to simply be considered the next iteration of Opus, or perhaps simply too expensive (Anthropic tried hard to explain that the price was worth it).
But back to the first point: why would a frontier company do this?
Speculation included:
I noted this, but didn't bother writing it up because, well, they were rumors, and I've never claimed to be a professional programmer.
And now I present to you:
Project Glasswing by Anthropic
..
Examples given:
Well. How about that. I wish the skeptics good luck, someone's going to be eating their hat very soon, and it's probably not going to be me. I'll see you in the queue for the dole. Being right about these things doesn't really get me out of the lurch either, Cassandra's foresight brought about no happy endings for anyone involved. I am not that pessimistic about outcomes, in all honesty, but the train shows no signs of stopping.
Edit: A link to the Substack version of this post. I don't think you should consider me an authoritative source when it comes to AI/ML, at best I'm the kind of nerd who reads the papers with keen interest. But God knows the quality of discourse around the topic is so bad that you can do worse.
Edit 2: I think this also explains the recent crunch in tokens made available to both paid and free tier users of Claude. Mythos can't have been cheap to train, and is definitely not cheap to deploy.
I wonder if Anthropic is really this naive.
Known to the NSA does not equate to known to the devs of the relevant software, quite the opposite. I don't see why you should criticize Anthropic for saying nothing on the topic of state level actors, especially when they're still on contract for providing services to the DOW.
The NSA probably, from time to time, has discussions with the devs of the relevant software on the subject of when to patch unknown-to-the-public vulnerabilities.
Of course, to your point about their work with the DOW, it's quite likely that Anthropic is well aware of this because they are one of the relevant organizations.
But if not, the thought of them turning loose MYTHOS and it immediately turning around and blowing up the NSA's zero-day horde is extremely funny. And since apparently this was automated and allegedly submitted a large number of such patches, it seems pretty plausible this in fact occurred.
I genuinely think that their actions are more likely to represent a divergence of interests with the NSA, which isn't that surprising given recent events. I would be very surprised if they found every zero-day that the NSA already knows, but this probably doesn't make them happy. Anyway, now that Mythos is out of the bag, most (intelligent) devs are going to be giving their code closer scrutiny, regardless of whether they have access or not. Arguably, they should have started last year.
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