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Notes -
I've... picked up a Claude Max 20x plan. No, I can't disclose how I acquired it, though I didn't have to pay a cent (and it's all legit). It's so fucking good, but at the same time, the more I use Opus 4.6, the more I'm impressed by how close Sonnet 4.6 gets. Sure, Opus is legitimately better, but the difference is nowhere near as stark as say, Gemini Flash vs Pro, or GPT's Thinking or Instant mode. Anthropic cooked, and I can't wait to try Mythos when the version for plebs comes out.
PS: If anyone has a good guide to Claude Code or agentic setups, I need one. I have some serious experimentation to do while I have it.
Alright, I have one for you: If you read the most recent installment of my Pittsburgh series you'll see that I have a sentence about how the Italian composition of Bloomfield changed over time, based on information compiled by the US Census. While I am skeptical of AI overall, I admit that it has legitimate potential uses, one of which is aggregating large amounts of statistical information from diverse sources that are a pain in the ass to search manually. To give you some background, the census started asking about ancestry beginning in 1980, on the "long form" that was given to 1/6 of the population. Following the 2000 census, the long form was eliminated, and the data was continually polled using the American Community Survey. When it was only being collected decennially, it was published in reports that are available online in PDF format. Following the introduction of the ACS, the census bureau implemented an API. In order to streamline the process, I gave Claude the following instruction:
After running for tens of minutes and spitting out a bunch of technical data about the API, it gave me this message:
It then informed me that my single, unsuccessful query used up my limit for the day. I would add that the pre-ACS data is available in PDF form from third party websites. I was able to compile it manually without much issue, though this would have been shorter. If Opus is able to do this, then I would like to see if I can get it to extend the data to prior years based on national origin. I don't know if this was compiled but the individual forms are available from 1950 and earlier, and they list the country of origin for each person. Around that time, most people with Italian ancestry would have been first or second generation, so the number of people born in Italy would be a starting point for an estimate.
I would also add that I tried this again with a different LLM that first incorrectly told me that it couldn't do it because of tract boundary changes (the ID number of the tract changed but the boundaries have been the same since at least 1940), and when I told it that the boundaries were the same it gave me 15%, which is the Italian-ancestored population of Pittsburgh as a whole. Another LLM told me it couldn't provide that data because it wasn't compiled and available online, which is basically admitting that it's a glorified search engine. So give it a shot with Opus and we'll see how it does.
Edit: Before you run my suggested prompt, try running something more general, like "How did the population of Pittsburgh Census Tract 804 change over time?" I try to give these LLMs as specific instructions as I can, but I feel like they are of limited utility if I need a lot of preexisting knowledge regarding how to find the information, as someone who knows that presumably doesn't need an LLM.
I mean, I'm not soliciting more AI experiments. I am, in fact, exceptionally fed up with the idea. For the same reason that I've mostly given up on arguing with most skeptics after Mythos was announced.
Not because of anything you've said or done, I found it interesting to try your suggestions on models.
I have a lot on my plate, so no promises, but if I end up trying this, I'll let you know.
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