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Transnational Thursday for April 16, 2026

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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In a data modeling understanding, everything is a "piece of evidence" any observation, any data, is fuel for the bayesian model. I observed it, made a tentative connection, stated my theorized connection, you and the other poster pointed out why is not a likely connection, I updated my understanding model of the what/when/where/why's. The end.

Idk why you are jumping at this so aggressively.

It's pretty mild substantive critique, not aggressive at all. If that's "jumping at this so aggressively" for you, we must be visiting very different internets, and I almost envy you. But only almost because if (when) I am wrong, I'd rather be informed about it than stay wrong without knowing it. I don't see it as a personal attack (even though being wrong is unpleasant, but that's just my ego talking).