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Notes -
This has resurfaced and been trending for a while
Currently at 42.1% red and 57.9% blue.
What would you choose? (See also r/slatestarcodex discussion)
I was motivated to post because I have a convincing argument for blue:
Stupid people will choose blue. You may not care about the disabled, elderly, generally moronic, etc. but this includes children and people who are "too generous": nice, but emotional, and devote their lives to charity
Thanos snapping a decent amount of the population (including random children, and biased towards selflessness) will probably overall negatively affect society
I probably won't die because most people choose blue, as evidenced by the poll. Even if I do, it may be preferable to living with the survivors (point #2)
Something something time preference.
I wouldn't want to live in a world where red won. Sociologically it would be an interesting question of how a society which thanos snapped itself would cope. Rugged individualism? "They were stupid and weak for picking blue, we're the smart ones."?
I think that kind of attitude is shortsighted.
Consider that you're currently living in a world where red all but won (we are ruled by massive nation-states and corporations that live according to the principle of preserving themselves first and promote people who do that for them), and the percentage of those really willing to take major risks for others is quite low when put to a real test. Conversely, there must be many decent people who would vote red yet aren't complete insufferable psychopaths and egoists (if only because ~45% of voters on a major twitter poll probably aren't completely insufferable).
If you hold people to the standard of them being willing to risk their own life to save yours, you'll likely find yourself disappointed. (Not just risk, in fact - risk implies some measure of the risker's skill and agency mattering - but gamble.)
I think people are acting more selfless than they really would be, and ofc voting was influenced by surrounding discourse, and of course the scenario is that red won, so some <50% of the population picked blue and died. The plurality of less-selfish people who voted blue, who then get thanos-snapped, were probably load bearing to some degree. I think there are a lot of negative externalities to red winning that red-pressers aren't considering.
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