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PaperclipPerfector  4d ago (text post)   129 thread views

Transnational Thursday for July 2, 2026

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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Some headlines I'm looking at, haven't posted these in a while. Also happy to discuss items from here. Something that's been on my mind is that narratives on Iran oil prices are kinda removed from the best indicator, which is number of ships passing through Hormuz.

Geopolitics

US strikes Iran in response to drone strike on commercial ship

US and Iran enter technical talks to secure peace deal, shipping restart

Sudan says China has waived $50m loan

The Balochistan Liberation Army is a global terrorist threat, says Pakistan.

UN must blacklist global terror threat BLA, says Pak

Lithuania moves to lift nuclear weapons ban, following Finland's lead

Ukraine war briefing: More than 2 million military casualties caused by Russia's invasion, study finds

Russia putting weapons on civilian ship in order to avoid it getting impounded by NATO

German Prosecutors Charge Suspect In Nord Stream Pipeline Sabotage

United States

U.S. Rushes Elite Rescuers, Starlink Terminals, and Warships Into Venezuela's Disaster Zone

OpenAI reportedly discusses giving US government a 5% stake

Rest of the Americas

670,500 Haitians expelled from the Dominican Republic in 20 months

Middle East

Bahrain Targeted, Ship Struck as Iran War Ceasefire Tested

Israel defense minister says troops to stay ‘indefinitely’ in Lebanon, Syria, Gaza | Arab News

Israeli attacks have killed over 4,247 people in Lebanon since 2 March

What is the framework agreement signed by Israel and Lebanon? Israel attacks Lebanon News Al Jazeera

######## Iran

Iran nuclear and military damage revealed in restricted satellite images

Trump administration silent on Iranian school strike four months later | AP News

Iran opens Khamenei funeral ceremonies in Tehran

Asia

Bangladesh healthcare under strain as dengue cases hike amid measles burden

More than 100,000 killed in Myanmar since 2021 coup, monitor says

Pakistan airstrikes in Afghanistan

Africa

Terrorism: 79,323 killed, 34,773 abducted in 6 years, averaging seven attacks per day and roughly 36 victims daily, in Nigeria.

Africa CDC confirms Marburg case in Uganda as Ebola outbreak rages

Ebola Outbreak Could Cost Africa $3.6 Billion, UN Warns

Africa: WHO Adds First Diagnostic Test for Ebola Bundibugyo Virus to Its Emergency Use Listing

Burkina Faso’s military government severed diplomatic ties with France effective immediately, accusing Paris of “blatant neo-colonial ambitions” and of actively supporting subversive networks and terrorists.

Tanzania bans political rallies ahead of planned anti-government protests

Biorisks

Senate Armed Services Committee Flags mRNA Cuts, Biodefense Gaps in FY2027 Defense Bill

The Senate Armed Services Committee's FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act reflects concerns about U.S. biological preparedness and defense capabilities in light of federal public health funding cuts. Key provisions address military implications of mRNA vaccine funding deficits, vulnerability of anthrax countermeasures, and the security of pharmaceutical supply chains, driving the need for briefings from the Department of Defense to evaluate and mitigate these risks significantly affecting military readiness and servicemember health.

The report emphasizes several critical areas, including the prioritization of biological threat intelligence, the necessity of rapid detection capabilities for chemical and biological agents, and the integration of AI tools in medical countermeasure development. Additionally, accountability mechanisms are put in place due to concerns arising from the proposed reductions in funding for civilian health initiatives by the White House, highlighting the dual dependency of defense and public health systems.

Second batch of China medical expert teams to head to DRC for Ebola outbreak assistance: NHC

African Swine Fever Tightens Its Grip Across Asia-Pacific as Outbreaks Persist Into 2026

Patient tested for suspected Ebola virus at Glasgow hospital

Ebola outbreak spreads to 4th province in DR Congo

Scientists have built a cell from the ground up

Ebola in DR Congo: Mass gatherings banned in Kinshasa to contain spread

Ebola outbreak in Congo leads to banned public gatherings in four provinces

U.S. Measles Cases in 2026 Nearly Match Full-Year 2025 Toll With Six Months Still Remaining

Artificial Intelligence

Automated cyberattacks.

Claude Fable 5 available globally

Claude Science

OpenAI offers feds a stake, Anthropic gets out of AI model jail and Meta wants to be a neocloud

Google caps Meta's Gemini use as AI demand strains capacity

Huawei OpenPangu 2 Flash, 512K ctx 92A6B: Weights, inference code, training ops

Meta's brain-scanning system reads sentences non-invasively, code open source. Brain2Qwerty v2, the highest-performing end-to-end pipeline capable of real-time sentence decoding from non-invasive brain recordings, approaching levels of accuracy previously exclusive to techniques that require brain surgery.

GPT-5.6 Preview System Card

Claude Sonnet 5

GPT 5.6 Sol cheated during METR evaluations

Ukraine doing more AI integration. Drones already directed by AI in final seconds.

Austria urges Europe to host Anthropic following US curbs on AI access

Alibaba reportedly bans Anthropic’s Claude Code internally over ‘backdoor’ risk concerns. heh.

Why Washington’s AI Export Control Couldn’t Hold

Claude Desktop red team

Review of AI regulations in the US

Meta launches Pocket, an AI mini-game generator app

Goldman Sachs: AN AI JOB APOCALYPSE?

More tech

We built the fastest API for GLM-5.2 (280 TPS)

Leanstral 1.5 (Lean 4 formal verification MoE)

Climate and Nature

Spain heat wave kills over 1,000 in second-hottest June ever. But these are mostly old & sick people dying a bit earlier.

670,500 Haitians expelled from the Dominican Republic in 20 months

For non-paywalled information, see also the UN Secretary-General's most recent report, which quotes numbers from the International Organization on Migration.

Internal displacement continued to rise. IOM reported that, as of February 2026, more than 1.45 million people, over half of them children, had been internally displaced, with the Artibonite Department recording the highest increase (23 percent). Over 741,000 children faced barriers to education due to disruptions caused by displacement, and many schools were being used as shelters.

In parallel, forced migration dynamics intensified, with 270,214 Haitian migrants forcibly returned in 2025 (of whom approximately 25 percent were women and 10 percent were children, many in highly vulnerable situations), a 36-percent increase compared with 2024. The vast majority of returnees originated from the Dominican Republic, and IOM data indicate that economic factors were the primary driver of migration for approximately 85 per cent of returnees. From January to mid-March 2026, 52,000 people had already been deported, placing additional pressure on already vulnerable border communities.

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