This weekly roundup thread is intended for all culture war posts. 'Culture war' is vaguely defined, but it basically means controversial issues that fall along set tribal lines. Arguments over culture war issues generate a lot of heat and little light, and few deeply entrenched people ever change their minds. This thread is for voicing opinions and analyzing the state of the discussion while trying to optimize for light over heat.
Optimistically, we think that engaging with people you disagree with is worth your time, and so is being nice! Pessimistically, there are many dynamics that can lead discussions on Culture War topics to become unproductive. There's a human tendency to divide along tribal lines, praising your ingroup and vilifying your outgroup - and if you think you find it easy to criticize your ingroup, then it may be that your outgroup is not who you think it is. Extremists with opposing positions can feed off each other, highlighting each other's worst points to justify their own angry rhetoric, which becomes in turn a new example of bad behavior for the other side to highlight.
We would like to avoid these negative dynamics. Accordingly, we ask that you do not use this thread for waging the Culture War. Examples of waging the Culture War:
-
Shaming.
-
Attempting to 'build consensus' or enforce ideological conformity.
-
Making sweeping generalizations to vilify a group you dislike.
-
Recruiting for a cause.
-
Posting links that could be summarized as 'Boo outgroup!' Basically, if your content is 'Can you believe what Those People did this week?' then you should either refrain from posting, or do some very patient work to contextualize and/or steel-man the relevant viewpoint.
In general, you should argue to understand, not to win. This thread is not territory to be claimed by one group or another; indeed, the aim is to have many different viewpoints represented here. Thus, we also ask that you follow some guidelines:
-
Speak plainly. Avoid sarcasm and mockery. When disagreeing with someone, state your objections explicitly.
-
Be as precise and charitable as you can. Don't paraphrase unflatteringly.
-
Don't imply that someone said something they did not say, even if you think it follows from what they said.
-
Write like everyone is reading and you want them to be included in the discussion.
On an ad hoc basis, the mods will try to compile a list of the best posts/comments from the previous week, posted in Quality Contribution threads and archived at /r/TheThread. You may nominate a comment for this list by clicking on 'report' at the bottom of the post and typing 'Actually a quality contribution' as the report reason.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Notes -
Thanks for the reminder. I checked, and Starship is slated for the first transatmospheric flight, Flight 13 to be specific, sometime after July. It was intended to be a true orbital flight, but likely will get bumped down to a suborbital one after recent technical difficulties.
(At least according to https://starship-spacex.fandom.com/wiki/Starship_Flight_Test_13)
With the benefit of hindsight, I think I was too optimistic. 90% CIs should cover way more space/time than a 3 year forecast. Clearly I wasn't adjusting for Elon time even while trying to adjust for Elon time, though my comment notes that that guess was off the top of my head with no additional research. I'd give 70% odds of a proper orbital flight and recovery within 2 years, 50% within 365 days.
I still do not think the hype is unjustified. There is nobody else around that's at SpaceX's level, especially after BO's setback.
I made a blocklist for uBlock Origin to make fandom.com links readable. With those in place, it's better than vanilla Wikipedia IMO.
Or replace fandom.com with breezewiki.com: https://starship-spacex.breezewiki.com/wiki/Starship_Flight_Test_13
More options
Context Copy link
More options
Context Copy link
More options
Context Copy link