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Governments depend on low-level government employees to enforce their decrees on the real world. Your postulated "300k trannies" are low-level government employees, and the drone systems you posit they will use have to be built and maintained by low-level government employees to function. It is possible to coordinate a level of meanness against such employees that they will not be willing or able to do the jobs assigned to them, and guns make the coordination of that level of meanness a lot easier.
You claimed snipers won't work because drones and AI. I'm pointing out that snipers probably would work despite drones and AI, at least for the plausible futures where ASI isn't exterminating all humans rendering the question moot. And again, snipers are merely one extremely obvious possibility your model didn't cover. There are many, many more.
How are you coordinating 100k snipers to do this? All communication is electronic so eavesdropping is breaking up coordination. How are you traveling? He was using a dumb car running on a gas powered car. Those won’t be manufactured in 20 years. Even if you have old cars driving one of those would be a giveaway. How would you even get gasoline?
All the infrastructure you would depend on to accomplish it is going to be gone. You can do a Mangione lone wolf sniper attack, but the next cog in the machine will take his job.
And yes the mobility aspect is important. Everyone will be driving electric smart cars because the experience is better. No one is going to want to drive themselves. It’s going the way of manual transmission. The consumer demand to support drive yourself won’t be there. The infrastructure to build drive yourself cars won’t exists. A human driver will likely be illegal in most situations in 20-30 years.
If you thought the 2020’s were bad with the government being able to cut you off from flying, payments, and communications then just wait until the 2040’s when your cut off from intelligence and driving. And all of this will be approved because it makes life more convenient. Nobody wants to go back to driving when you hit a button on your Tesla and snooze off for 20 minutes.
My point is any ability to exert pressure is going the way of seriel killers. We have mass surveillance now and they get caught early.
Yeah, you just made this a whole lot easier. Paint a tunnel on a wall, Road Runner style, and scratch your target off a list.
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