A weekly thread to discuss financial matters - from personal all the way up to global.
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Notes -
Based on what you are saying I would run from the trade. I may change my mind if you are in an okay second or third tier city.
I hate the pricing in all the tier 1 cities right now. The city I am in the most in the States for the type of condo I am assuming you are describing the rent price would be about 3500-4k a month and the costs to own after 20% down would be 7-8k a month. Those numbers do not work to expect appreciation.
You just laid out a plan to move within 5-7 years. To sell the place you are buying you will pay 5% broker commission (most likely still), transfer taxes, appraisal, etc. It runs about 7% all-in for a lot of cities to sell a property. The first 7 years of a mortgage payment the principle pay down is basically 7%. So all the equity you paid in will disappear to selling costs.
All the real estate association publications on appreciation are basically bullshit and dominated by a few geographically and regulatory restricted places. I could do a long post picking apart issues with every real estate index but the short part is they all ignore key factors even the ones that only do repeated sales.
At your age you want to buy property. It feels like the “adult” thing to do and the next stage of life. Condos also are a very hard area to actually make money on. Current pricing is awful to buy in most markets unless you assume 30 year rates drop 300 bps.
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