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Dead forum?
Today in AI news, OpenAI has reportedly released GPT-6 Astra. Rumors on X suggests that it scores 99% on Arc-AGI-3, meaning that the benchmark is essentially dead now. For comparison, Fable only scored 30%. Does this mean AGI is here? Many are saying that it is. Color me skeptical, but its getting harder and harder to find concrete tests that AI cannot pass. The god of the gaps gets smaller.
Many intelligenct people have important things to say about this. But what do the 84 year old communists think? Bernie Sanders today has introduced legislation calling for a ban on superintelligence with a 20 year prison term for attempted superintelligence. He also wants (shocked Pikachu) a government regulatory agency. Although he mumbles something about international cooperation, its clear that China will not be subject to these rules so it solves nothing.
I will give him credit for at least recognizing the importance of the issue.
We could be entering a world of unimaginable change. And, given the political systems in place in the US and China, the midwives of that changes will be those on the cusp of senility.
I don't know what any of these eval scores mean. I no longer have the ability to intuitively "feel" how much more intelligent each iterative model release is. I don't know how to code. I don't know how to do graduate-level math. These models have been smarter than me for quite some time.
The point of ARC-AGI was to find tests that were easy for normal humans but difficult or impossible for AI.
So unlike more inscrutable tests like FrontierMath, this one is a little easier to understand. You would easily beat Opus 4.6 on ARC-AGI-3 even though the model is smarter than you in other ways. But you wouldn't beat Astra (at least not in its harness and with a large enough token budget).
This doesn't mean that Astra can do everything on a computer that a human can do, only that it's making real progress.
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