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PaperclipPerfector  2d ago (text post)   10210 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of September 28, 2026

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> Iran suffers crippling permanent military defeat > America suffers temporary and minor economic setback

This was true six months ago and it's obvious today. This was always how the war was progressing which is why I have argued so consistently that the war was won: that's a fair vocabulary when Germany is up 7-2 and the game is technically still in play.

So just so we are on the same page: the war is over and Iran has lost. The US has effectively a 100% chance of accomplishing all its goals. So it’s not winning, it has won.

Iran is negotiating its surrender. The war is over and Iran has lost.

Iran's "negotiations" are fake. They think Trump will be foolish enough to release the blockade on their promise for a peace deal, which will allow them to export a bunch of oil and buy themselves some time. Then they reneg and fire on ships again just like last time. Trump seems uninterested in this idea, fortunately.

What will you say if they don’t surrender and don’t give up their nuclear material?

Then oil will continue flowing through the Straits, and Iran's economy will continue collapsing. Exactly as it has since June.

You need to change your victory proof to oil returning to, say, $70 per barrel or below. There is no doubt that the war is still screwing up the supply of oil, and the proof is the price.

And when the Democrats win the midterms and invoke War Powers Resolution law because Americans don’t want this to go on indefinitely… what then? This is an unpopular war and nobody wants this to go on for years. Trump is on the clock. He doesn’t have unlimited time.

War powers resolution is toothless. Needs a veto propf majority to mean anything so it's all theater

Maybe they can try Impeaching Trump?

The have a lot more options than that.

And when the Democrats win the midterms and invoke War Powers Resolution law because Americans don’t want this to go on indefinitely… what then?

Trump vetoes.

If the Republicans get absolutely hammered because of Trump, non-MAGA Republicans will eventually go against him. Trump keeping America unilaterally in an unpopular war with no end in sight will be a disaster for Republicans and they will turn on him eventually and on the war. The media will absolutely run with this too to help Democrats. They have the power of the purse still too. I just don’t see this lasting 2 more years unless Iran wants it to last 2 more years. I hope I’m wrong and the regime collapses but I just don’t see that happening.

Sure, but there's a lot of ruin in a nation. Iran might be able to just outlast Trump and end the war with a pinkie promise to President Newsom (or AOC). Then toll the strait and nuke Tel Aviv.

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