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Notes -
You would want to punish whichever party started the war even if both parties were equally likely to have started the war; if you cause either party to lose then it will result in a “lesson” about instigating conflict even 50 or 100 years down the road. Unlike the Trump admin, I think the Iranian leaders actually care about the longterm good of their particular people / nation, so they consider how to secure benefits for their group long after they are individually gone, as opposed to falling into the nihilistic “we are all going to die anyway” boomer-death-spiral ideology (something I also hear from the boomers in my own life). But with that said, the Republicans have tied themselves at the neck to Israel, so Iran has a clear interest in making them lose for this reason alone apart from concerns about war continuation; there’s more than just the war per se, there’s “I don’t want America to give a bajillion bombs to Israel for free” which is the Republican plan.
My point is that the parties are equally beholden to Israel, which is very different from being equally likely to have started the war. If they were just both ideologically neoconservative, you could train them to be anti-war that way, but it's well established that they care more about pleasing Israel than they do about winning elections, so the midterms are a nonentity to them.
They would rather have their pro-Israel opposition in charge of Congress than enact a not-pro-Israel policy themselves.
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