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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 12, 2026

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Yes, climate change poses absolutely no threat to humanity over the next 200 years at least.

I do sometimes wonder what, if anything, we owe to people hundreds or thousands of years in the future. If 100 billion people existed in the past, we might expect a median of 100 billion to exist in the future. Imagine a world 10,000 years in the future. Absent space travel, the world might essentially be a big trash heap. All the easily accessible oil, coal, and metals would be used up. So once technology was lost, there'd be no way to restart it. A few million people would live on the ruins of a vast civilization, like the Dark Age barbarians who turned Roman amphitheaters into quarries.

All the easily accessible oil, coal, and metals would be used up. So once technology was lost, there'd be no way to restart it. A few million people would live on the ruins of a vast civilization, like the Dark Age barbarians who turned Roman amphitheaters into quarries.

But that's not how it works, certainly not for metals. The Dark Age barbarians used amphitheaters as Quarries precisely because those were so easily accessible. They lost the technological sophistication to support the kind of a large-scale system to build Amphitheaters, but jump-starting civilization from a trash-heap is imo most likely easier, not harder, than doing so from scratch.

There are resources that genuinely get used up like fossil fuel, yes, but since these are to my knowledge all about energy-generation, I'm quite hopeful that this will take so long that we will have a near-endless list of alternative energy sources, even if those may be less efficient pound-for-pound.

Not 100 percent sure but I think we’ve already got pretty much all the oil that can be retrieved with 1900 level technology. It used to ooze from the ground.

Coal is the best bet for still being available post a new Dark Age.

I do sometimes wonder what, if anything, we owe to people hundreds or thousands of years in the future.

Space travel, actually. We're burning up all these easily accessible ressources, at least let it not be to paint ourselves into a corner.

It's an interesting scenario. I think it'd be easier than one might think to restart civilization though. Hydro power provides 15% of world electricity and you can have a fairly large metallurgical industry from charcoal, as Brazil shows. The metals we dug up are mostly still at the top somewhere.

But best to avoid losing technology or space travel rather than planning for such a failed scenario. I think it's no good to do those labelling projects (as are conducted for nuclear waste) where anthropologists think about how to communicate to people about the dangers of buried nuclear waste without sharing a language. Effort should be spent to avoid such an end state, not to ameliorate a total abysmal failure.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-term_nuclear_waste_warning_messages