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birb_cromble  4d ago (text post)   985 thread views

Qeekly Finance Thread - 2026-11-07

A weekly thread to discuss financial matters - from personal all the way up to global.

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If AI is going to increase volatility, it's probably also going to increase returns right?

I would guess that the answer is "probably yes," but perhaps not. Because we're in for a wild ride (IMO). I'm 95% sure that there will be a lot of volatility. I'm 80% sure that overall returns will increase. So if there were some way to bet on long-term volatility, I would be interested.

Why not ask ChatGPT or Claude to write you a simulation? Ask it to create a simulation with 2 funds: bonds and stocks. Plug in default volatility and return expectations. Find the highest median return. Then adjust volatility and run again.

Not a bad idea.

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