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Culture War Roundup for the week of November 9, 2026

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How about this - Le Pen wins, pulls a Meloni, governs to the center, nothing happens. She makes some performatively mean statements about Islamism, deports a few thousand illegal migrants, conducts a few heavy-handed national police raids on drug dealers in the banlieues of Marseille and in St Denis, for which she is widely condemned after footage is published showing the police beating up some second generation Algerian woman just bringing her shopping home for what seems to be no reason. Other than that, Le Pen allies with other parties in parliament to give more handouts to retirees and lower the pension age, presides over a huge economic crisis, then leaves office in a wave of unpopularity.

Forcing assimilation in France, CCP Style is coup complete. Actual large scale remigration (which some on the right have fantasies of) is probably revolution complete. Neither have any chance of happening.

Le Pen wins, pulls a Meloni, governs to the center, nothing happens.

Yeah, I think this is pretty much guaranteed. French people are really endearing when they get all wide-eyed and spooked about the prospect of someone called Le Pen ruling in the Élysée Palace - meanwhile, the FN is basically a social-democratic party for lumpens and petit-bourgeois paupers with next to no substantial platform on taking meaningful institutional power and reversing French demographic trends. They're among the mildest "far right" party of note in Europe today, Le Pen can't even be bothered to say that Islam is incompatible with French values